In one of the biggest games on tap for Week 4 college football the No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs (3-0) will host the No. 7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (2-0). Kickoff will be at 8:00 EST under the lights at Sanford Stadium in Athens. It will be televised nationally on CBS.
Oddsmakers opened up this line at Georgia -12, but early action on the Bulldogs has the number up to -14. The total opened at 56.5 and is down to 56 at most books.
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Georgia vs Notre Dame Vegas Betting Line & Game Preview
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Returning from their early season bye, Notre Dame put a 66-14 beating on New Mexico last week, easily covering as a 34.5-point favorite. It was 35-0 in the 2nd quarter before the Lobos got on the board with a 47-yard TD run.
Junior quarterback Ian Book had himself a game with 360 yards and 5 scores through the air, plus he rushed for 46 yards and a touchdown. This came after a quiet opener at Louisville, where he only had 193 yards and a score on 14 of 23 passing.
One are of concern for the Irish has to be the run defense. After giving up 249 yards and 2 scores on the ground to Louisville, they let New Mexico rush for 212 yards and 2 scores. Notre Dame is giving up 5 yards/carry after only allowing 3.8 a year ago.
The Bulldogs have cruised to a 3-0 record. They opened the season with a conference road game at Vandy, but went on to win 30-6 as a 22.5-point favorite. They then whooped Murray State 63-17 at home before thrashing Arkansas State 55-0 as a 32.5-point favorite.
Junior quarterback Jake Fromm has completed 75% (42 of 56) of his attempts for 601 yards with a perfect 5-0 TD-INT ratio. As good as Fromm has been, most of the damage has come on the ground, where the Bulldogs are averaging 287 ypg and 7.6 yards/carry. D’Andre Swift leads the way with 290 yards on a mere 31 attempts (9.4 yards/carry).
The defense has only allowed 1 touchdown and three field goals with the only TD coming on a 60 yard pass play. Opposing teams have got next to nothing on the ground against the Bulldogs, as they come in giving up just 51 ypg and 2.1 yards/carry.
These two teams last played in Week 2 of the 2017 season. Then No. 15 Georgia won 20-19 on the road as a 5-point dog to No. 24 Notre Dame. That was the Bulldogs team that went on to win the SEC and lose to Alabama in the title game.
College Football Free Pick Against the Spread: Notre Dame +14
My early lean here is on Notre Dame and the points. When I first saw this line I thought for sure the public would be all over the Irish at this price. So far it doesn’t appear to me that the public is rushing to take Notre Dame. If they were, that would be a huge red flag for me. I’m not a big fan of public dogs in big games.
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The only reason I can think that the public isn’t on Notre Dame more, is because there was all kind of talk after the Irish shouldn’t have made the playoffs, despite going 12-0. Georgia is one of those teams that thought they deserved that spot of Notre Dame and felt justified of that after the Irish lost 30-3 to Clemson in the semifinals.
I just think that makes a whole lot of sense. It would one thing if Clemson didn’t go out an embarrass Alabama in the title game. I have to think Notre Dame is sick and tired of hearing about how they didn’t deserve to make it. The Irish can quiet everyone with a strong showing against Georgia and I guarantee you they don’t just think they can keep it close. They believe they can win this game.
I don’t know if they can, but I definitely think they are good enough to keep it within 14. I mean the Bulldogs did only beat Vandy by 24 on the road and Notre Dame is way more talented than the Commodores. I also really like Ian Book at quarterback and when you got a talent like that under center you got a shot to win any game you play.
This isn’t the first time Georgia has been overvalued in this spot. Bulldogs are just 6-16 ATS last 22 at home after a cover as a double-digit favorite. Give me the Irish +14!