A crossover showdown between SEC foes is brewing in the week 4 schedule. The #12 Georgia Bulldogs travel to face the #23 Ole Miss Rebels Saturday afternoon. The game kicks off at 12:00 pm ET from Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, Mississippi. National television coverage for the contest is provided by ESPN. Ole Miss is currently a 7 point favorite with the over/under set at 62 points in this contest.
Georgia vs. Ole Miss Vegas Game Preview and Pick
Georgia remained unbeaten but they needed a late fourth down, fourth quarter touchdown to beat Missouri 28-27 on the road last week. Ole Miss fell to 1-2 by blowing another multiple score lead. They led 24-3 in the first half but fell to #1 Alabama, 48-43, at home last week. This marks the 46th time in history the two teams have met. Georgia owns a hefty 32-12-1 edge in the series and won the last 10 meetings. That includes a 37-10 victory in the last matchup, which came in 2012 in Athens.
Free Vegas Spread Pick & Prediction: Ole Miss -7
Georgia put together a middling performance for the second straight week. They did manage to escape with a win in their conference opener. It will take more than what they’ve shown to get past Ole Miss on the road. The Bulldogs were outgained 471-409 in the contest. They did have a 25-18 edge in first downs and dominated time of possession by a 37:18 to 22:42 margin. It’s a fairly safe bet that if Missouri didn’t turn the ball over five times, the Bulldogs, not the Tigers, would have lost this one. The Bulldogs can’t ask Jacob Eason to throw the ball 55 times again.
The Bulldogs are 66th in passing offense (233 ypg) and tied for 57th in rushing with 185.7 yards a game. Georgia is tied for 77th in scoring offense (29 ppg) and tied for 64th in scoring defense as they allow 25 points a night. Freshman Jacob Eason is 48 of 87 for 643 yards with five touchdowns and two interceptions. Last year’s starter, Greyson Lambert, is 7 of 11 for 56 yards. Nick Chubb leads the team with 71 carries for 365 yards and three scores. Brian Herrien has 15 carries for 106 yards and a score. Last year’s leading rusher, Sony Michel, has only 12 carries for 40 yards. Isaiah McKenzie is a solid receiver, leading the team with 18 catches for 305 yards and four scores. Michael Chigbu (six catches, 56 yards) and Terry Godwin (eight grabs, 138 yards) are other targets for Eason.
Ole Miss, much like they did against Florida State, blew a big lead and took a loss. This one stung as it came in their conference opener against the #1 team in the land. Ole Miss held a slim 522-492 edge in total yards but fell apart late in the second quarter. After taking that 24-3 edge, Ole Miss was outscored 45-6 until they strung together a pair of scores in seven seconds late in the fourth quarter. The Rebels gave up a score on a punt return and on two fumble returns in the game. That more than negated the score they had on a scoop six in the second quarter.
The Rebels put up an average of 38.3 points a game this season. Ole Miss is putting up 439.3 yards of offense per contest. Chad Kelly is 67 of 106 passing for 953 yards with 10 touchdowns and three interceptions this season. He has run for 71 yards. Jason Pellerin is two of three passing for 23 yards with a touchdown and an interception. He has 27 rushing yards and a score. Akeem Judd leads the team with 34 carries for 153 yards plus two scores. In the passing game, tight end Evan Engram (team high 20 receptions, 302 yards, 2 TD) is the leading receiver. Damore’ea Stringfellow (12 catches, 168 yards, TD) and Van Jefferson (12 grabs, 145 yards, TD) are solid options as well. Gary Wunderlich converted all 13 extra points and four field goal attempts this season.
The Bulldogs are 3-0 compared to Ole Miss’s 1-2. There’s a stark contrast as far as competition level over the last few weeks of games. Ole Miss lost to Florida State and Alabama in games they led before wilting late. Georgia has three wins by a combined 12 points. That includes a two point win over a FCS program that they were favored by 52.5 points against. The Bulldogs have talent but they aren’t showing it on the field. Maybe this is the week the Bulldogs play up to potential but it’s tough to bank on maybes. I’ll give the points and back Ole Miss here. For more free college football picks, check out the site and read up on other games!
Ole Miss is 5-1 ATS in their last six after allowing at least 40 points and 4-1 ATS in their last five after a straight up loss. Georgia is 2-5 ATS in their last seven after an ATS loss and 2-5 ATS in their last seven conference games.