This Saturday two SEC East rivals will clash as the No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs host the South Carolina Gamecocks. Kickoff is set for 12:00 EST at Sanford Stadium in Athens and will be televised on ESPN.
Oddsmakers opened up this line at Georgia -24, but it’s now up to the Bulldogs -24.5 and even -25 at some places. The total on the other hand has dropped from 54 down to 52.5.
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Georgia vs South Carolina Betting Odds & Game Preview
South Carolina Gamecocks (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS)
The Gamecocks will be returning from their bye week looking to build on an impressive 24-7 win and cover at home against Kentucky as a mere 3-point favorite. South Carolina has now covered 3 of 4 since that upset loss as a double-digit favorite to North Carolina in the opener. The only non-cover came in a 20-point loss at Missouri as a 9.5-point dog and the Tigers had two non-offensive touchdowns in that win.
The big story so far has to be the play of true freshman quarterback Ryan Hilinksi, who was forced into action after senior starter Jake Bentley was lost for the season in the opener against the Tar Heels. Hilinksi has completed 61% of his attempts for 912 yards and has a 5-3 TD-INT ratio. His best game came against his toughest task, as he threw for 324 yards and 2 scores against Alabama.
Defensively there’s got to be concerned with the rash of injuries they have suffered on the defensive line. They have already lost starter D.J. Wonnum for the season, as well as backups Keir Thomas and Brad Johnson. Another starter, Aaron Sterling is listed as questionable.
Georgia Bulldogs (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS)
The Bulldogs just returned from their bye week with a 43-14 win and cover as a 24-point road favorite at Tennessee. It was a sloppy start for Georgia, as Tennessee had a 14-10 lead into the 2nd quarter. It was also a fortunate cover, as the Vols had a 1st 10 at Georgia 25 with just over 5 minutes to play in the 4th quarter. Bulldogs got a sack fumble and returned it 60 yards for a score.
It was the third time this season that Georgia covered a spread of 20 or more. The Bulldogs won 30-6 as a 22.5-point favorite at Vanderbilt and won 55-0 over Arkansas State as a 32.5-point favorite.
There’s plenty of talk of how good former Georgia QB Justin Fields is doing at Ohio State, but Jake Fromm is not disappointing in Athens. Fromm has already eclipsed 1,000 yards, is completing 78% of his attempts and has not thrown an interception in 2019. Now owns a ridiculous 62-13 TD-INT ratio in his 2+ years as a starter.
Georgia has won four straight in the series. Last year the Bulldogs won 41-17 as a mere 8.5-point road favorite. The year before South Carolina covered in a 24-10 loss at Georgia as 23.5-point dog. Since Kirby Smart signed with Georgia and Will Muschamp went to SC, the away team has covered in all 3 meetings.
Free NCAAF Pick & Betting Predictions: South Carolina +25
My early lean would be to take the points with South Carolina. No question the books have inflated this number with Georgia being ranked No. 3 in the country and having just covered as a 24-point favorite at Tennessee. I just haven’t been as impressed as I thought I would be with the Bulldogs so far. The win over Notre Dame looks good at the moment, as the Irish are 4-1, but I could see them losing at least a couple more games.
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They are 2-0 in the SEC but have played the two worst teams in Vanderbilt and Tennessee. They were only up 21-6 on the Commodores at the half and trailed the Vols in the 2nd quarter. Had Tennessee scored instead fumbling the ball for a Georgia TD (60-yard return), the Vols would likely lost that game by just 15 points.
If South Carolina can keep it within 24 against Alabama, I don’t see why they can’t cover this number. I actually think with the Gamecocks coming off a bye and having two weeks to prepare, they could possibly give the Bulldogs a serious scare in this game.
Georgia is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after covering a spread and the Gamecocks are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me South Carolina +25!