This Friday the Memphis Tigers (1-1) are set to host the Georgia State Panthers (1-1) in the only game on the board for college football. Kickoff is set for 7:00 EST at the Liberty Bowl and will be televised on ESPN.
Taking a look at the odds, the Tigers opened as a big 26-point home favorite, but that line has gone up and Memphis is currently sitting at -27. The over/under for this matchup is 59.5 points. Click here for a look at our Week 3 NCAAF betting schedule for a full list of game odds and links to our previews.
Vegas Game Preview & Betting Odds: Georgia St vs Memphis
The Panthers come into this one off an ugly 41-7 loss at NC State. Those that took Georgia State as a 25-point dog, had to feel good about their chances after watching the Panthers take their opening drive 75 yards for a touchdown. They were still covering late in the 4th (27-7), but the Wolfpack scored two touchdowns in the final 3 minutes for the 34-point win.
As for the Tigers, they will be looking to bounce back from a crushing 1-point loss (22-21) at Navy. It looked good early for Memphis, who closed as a 6.5-point favorite, as they took a 21-9 lead into the 4th quarter.The Tigers offense struggled against a Navy defense that allowed 59 points and 522 total yards the previous week at Hawaii. Memphis’ Brady White threw for just 145 yards and 0 touchdowns after piling on 358 yards and 5 scores against Mercer in the opener.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: OVER 59.5
If I had to take a side, I would probably take my chances with Memphis covering the big number, but I think the better value in this game is on the OVER 59.5. I just don’t think it’s asking a lot for these two teams to combine for at least 60 points.
Click on the link for more free college football picks from our experts on staff.
One of the big reasons that the Tigers offense struggled against Navy is the game was play in sloppy conditions with a steady rain making it less than ideal for Memphis’ high-powered passing attack. Those conditions certainly played a part in the Tigers turning it over 4 times.
Memphis’ offense has to feel like they gave that game away and I look for them to come out looking to lay it on the Panthers. I just don’t see Georgia State being able to do anything to stop them. The Panthers were torched by NC State’s Ryan Finley this past Saturday, as Finley went 31 of 38 for 370 yards. They also let Kennesaw State’s Chandler Burks average 10.6 yards/attempt in their near loss to the Owls at home in Week 1.
I wouldn’t be shocked at all if Memphis put up 50+ points, which is why I would have to side with them on the spread. However, I do think Georgia State is going to be able to put some points on the board. The Panthers appear to have found something in JUCO quarterback transfer Dan Ellington, who has completed 63% of his attempts for 381 yards with a 3-0 TD-INT ratio.
I know the Memphis defense has looked great the first two games, but one was against a bad Mercer team and the other was against the one-dimensional Navy option offense. Playing on short rest and off that emotional loss, I think the defense could come out flat. I think if we can get a mere 20-points from Georgia State, this one will easily eclipse the mark.
OVER is 7-1 in the Tigers’ last 8 non-conference games, 20-8 in their last 28 games at home and 4-1 in their last 5 vs a team from the Sun Belt.