Two teams still working toward a bowl game meet this weekend when the Duke Blue Devils host the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. Kickoff is at 3:30 EST on Saturday, November 18 at Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham, North Carolina. Fans can watch the game on ACC Network Extra.
Oddsmakers list the Yellow Jackets as 6-point favorites on the road. The over/under is set at 47 points. Click here to check out a full list of Week 12 betting odds and links to game previews.
Georgia Tech vs Duke Game Betting Preview & Vegas Odds
Duke began this season by going 4-0. But it’s been all downhill since then with six straight losses. Last week’s loss to Army was particularly disheartening for Duke, especially after they fell behind 21-3. The Blue Devils have no choice but to win their last two games or go without a bowl game for the second straight year.
Georgia Tech is also chasing after a bowl spot. To be fair, they had a game canceled earlier this year, so they are 5-4 with one fewer chance than most teams to get to six wins. Of course, the game that won’t be made up came against undefeated Central Florida, so the Yellow Jackets may not have won it anyway.
In any event, just one more win will be enough to get Paul Johnson’s team into a bowl game. Last week’s upset over Virginia Tech gave the Jackets a huge lift and may have saved their season. But with the Georgia Bulldogs looming next week, Tech’s best chance to get to a bowl is beating Duke on the road this week.
College Football Free Pick Against the Spread: Georgia Tech -6
I’ve thought highly of Georgia Tech for much of the year. A loss to Virginia a couple weeks ago hurt their perception, but I can look past that, especially after they beat Virginia Tech. Meanwhile, I have little faith in Duke at this point. I’ll take the Yellow Jackets to win this game and win it comfortably.
This game creates a unique situation in that Duke played Army’s triple-option last week and plays another triple-option team this week. On the one hand, preparing for the triple-option two weeks in a row should help. On the other hand, Duke lost to Army and now they have to face a triple-option team with better athletes.
Click on the link for more free NCAA football picks against the spread and total.
In Duke’s defense, Army only averaged four yards per rush last week. The Blue Devils also kept Army off the scoreboard in the 2nd half. But I’m not convinced that translates to success against Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets are faster than Army and more likely to make Duke pay for missed assignments.
Georgia Tech also presents a little more of a passing threat. The Yellow Jackets hurt Virginia Tech on two long touchdown passes last week. The threat of Georgia Tech doing that again is something Duke will have to account for this week.
On the other side of the ball, Duke quarterback Daniel Jones has regressed the second half of the season. He was solid if unspectacular against Army. But he’s struggled to make a significant impact this year when facing ACC defenses. Outside of a couple games, the Yellow Jackets have been solid defensively this year. I don’t see Duke having the kind of team that can give them too much trouble.
Unless the Duke defense is better against Georgia Tech’s triple-option than they were against Army’s triple-option, the Blue Devils have a narrow path to victory. In each of Duke’s five ACC losses this season, the margin of defeat has been at least a touchdown. As long as that trend continues, the Yellow Jackets will beat the spread.