This Sunday the New York Giants will host the Minnesota Vikings in a matchup of two teams that enter the week 2-2. Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST at MetLife Stadium and will be televised locally on FOX.
Oddsmakers opened this game at Vikings -4.5, but early money on Minnesota has them at -5.5 and even -6 at some places. The total opened at 45.5 and is down to 44 at most books.
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Giants vs Vikings Vegas Betting Preview
Minnesota Vikings (2-2)
The Vikings blew a golden opportunity to get a division road win last week, losing 16-6 to the Chicago Bears, who lost starting quarterback Mitch Trubisky on their very first possession. The defense more than did their part, holding Chicago to just 16 points and 269 total yards. It was Kirk Cousins and the offense that didn’t deliver.
Cousins threw for 233 on 27 of 36 passing, but was sacked 6 times and missed some easy throws that could have resulted in points. It didn’t help the Bears shutdown Dalvin Cook, limiting him to 35 yards on 14 attempts. Thru 4 games the Vikings are averaging just 169 passing yards/game, good for 31st in the league, ahead of only the Jets.
Both of Minnesota’s wins in 2019 have come at home, where they are also 2-0 ATS. Both losses on the road, both games they didn’t cover.
New York Giants (2-2)
The decision to bench Eli Manning in favor of rookie Daniel Jones looks like the right move. In his first start, Jones brought the then 0-2 Giants back from a 18-point 2nd half deficit to stun the Bucs 32-31 in Tampa. Very next start he guides them to a 24-3 win over the Redskins. With the Eagles off to a slow start and Dallas dropping to 3-1, New York is just 1-game back in the NFC East.
I think the decision to go to Jones really got the players excited in the locker rom, as this team was just not going anywhere with Manning under center. They played last week without Saquon Barkley and it was said that he would be out 4-8 weeks. However, head coach Pat Shurmur said he’s progressing well and could potentially play this week.
One player that we know will be back this week is wide out Golden Tate, who the Giants signed in the offseason, but has yet to play because of a 4-game suspension.
This will be the first time in three seasons that these two teams have played. Vikings won the most recent meeting 24-10 as a 3.5-point home favorite back in 2016. Minnesota has won 6 of the last 8 meetings overall, but they are just 4-2 in the last 6 with all 4 wins coming at home.
Free Pick & Point Spread Predictions: Vikings -5.5
My early lean here would be to lay less than a touchdown with Minnesota on the road. I get the excitement around the Giants with them winning each of Jones’ first two starts, but let’s not overreact to a couple of wins of the Bucs and Redskins. Tampa doesn’t lay an egg in the second half they lose that game by double-digits. Last week they were basically gift-wrapped a win with Washington going to Dwayne Haskins (9 of 17 for 107 yards with 3 interceptions).
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Those are also two sub-par defensive teams. Bucs rank 20th in total defense and Redskins rank 28th. Tampa is also 30th in points allowed and Washington is 31st. Minnesota ranks both 6th in total offense and total defense.
I know Cousins has not looked great early on in 2019, but I’m a lot more confident with the Vikings offense being able to sustain drives than I am with Jones and the Giants offense.
Don’t be fooled by the fact that New York only gave up 3-points last week to the Redskins. Washington ranks in the bottom 5 in both total offense and scoring offense. It was pretty evident to why Haskins had not played up until last week, the guy isn’t ready and honestly might never be. That same Giants defense let Jameis Winston throw for 380 yards and 3 scores the week before and allowed 405 yards and 4 scores to Dak Prescott earlier in the year.
The other thing is the Giants are just middle of the pack in terms of stopping the run and the Vikings come in with the 3rd ranked rushing offense at 155 yards/game (5.2 yards/carry). Also, New York just lost starting middle linebacker Ryan Connelly to a season-ending injury. Fellow inside linebackers Tae Davis and Alec Ogletree are both questionable to play, as is starting strong-side backer Lorenzo Carter. Give me the Vikings -5.5.