The Fresno State Bulldogs (3-4) travel to Oahu this weekend for a Mountain West Conference battle with the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (5-3). Kickoff is set for 11:55 PM EST on November 2nd at Aloha Stadium and the game will be streamed live via Facebook.
Taking a look at the Week 10 college football odds, Hawaii opened as a 2.5-point home favorite earlier this week. The spread hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as the Rainbow Warriors are currently available at -2.5. The total for the game is sitting at 69.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Hawaii vs Fresno State
Fresno State dropped back below .500 on the season overall last weekend, falling 41-31 at home to Colorado State. The Bulldogs fell behind 21-14 in the second quarter and never recovered, getting outscored 20-17 over the final 30 minutes of the game en route to a double-digit defeat. QB Jorge Reyna went 20/37 for 200 passing yards but also got picked off twice. The backfield duo of Ronnie Rivers and Josh Hokit played very well, combining for 170 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Rivers also led the way for the receiving corps, making four catches for 42 yards. As a whole, Fresno State gained 389 total yards and scored four touchdowns despite coming up short on the scoreboard.
The Bulldogs had a poor outing on the other side of the ball against CSU, giving up over 500 total yards of offense and five touchdowns. Fresno State had no answer for Rams RB Marcus McElroy on the ground, as he torched the defense for 117 rushing yards and two touchdowns.
Hawaii snapped a two game losing streak last weekend, beating New Mexico 45-31 on the road to move to 5-3 on the season overall. The Rainbow Warriors scored three touchdowns in the opening quarter and never looked back, tacking on three more touchdowns over the final four minutes en route to a convincing victory. QB Cole McDonald went 17/30 for 237 passing yards and one touchdown through the air while also rumbling for 140 yards and two rushing touchdowns on just nine carries. Miles Reed also found the end zone on the ground, rushing for 97 yards and a score on 16 touches. Kumoku Noa also had a big game, hauling in four receptions for 120 yards and a touchdown. Overall, Hawaii generated just under 600 total yards of offense and scored five touchdowns against a shell-shocked Lobos defense.
The Rainbow Warriors weren’t nearly as impressive defensively against New Mexico, giving up over 500 total yards of offense and four touchdowns. Hawaii really struggled to contain Lobos RB Ahmari Davis on the ground, as he racked up 200 rushing yards and two touchdowns on a team-high 16 carries.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Fresno State +2.5
I’m leaning slightly towards taking Fresno State and the 2.5 points in this Mountain West Conference clash, as they could easily win this game outright. However, there certainly isn’t a ton of value on either side, especially considering this game is being played in Oahu where Hawaii has won three out of their last four games. Even so, the Bulldogs have absolutely dominated against the spread in this matchup in recent years, going 7-3 ATS over the last ten meetings between these two teams. Fresno State is also a perfect 5-0 outright in their last five games against the Rainbow Warriors at Aloha Stadium.
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There definitely should be a lot of scoring on Saturday evening, as both offenses have scored at least 30 points in three out of their last four games. However, the total is already almost at 70 points which seems pretty efficient to me overall. As long as the Bulldogs are available at +2.5 points or higher, I’d rather take my chances with the slight road underdog in this particular spot. It is also worth noting that Hawaii is a brutal 4-13-1 against the spread over their last 18 home games, which certainly doesn’t bode well for their chances of covering the number here in Week 10. I’ll roll with Fresno State to take care of business on the road and get back to .500 overall on the season through their first eight games – the extra 2.5 points are just a bonus.