The San Jose State Spartans (4-5) travel to Honolulu this weekend for a Mountain West showdown with the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (5-4). Kickoff is set for 11:00 PM EST on November 9th at Aloha Stadium and the game will be broadcast on Facebook Live.
Taking a look at the Week 11 college football odds, Hawaii opened as a 7-point home favorite earlier this week. The spread has increased by a full point after early betting, as the Rainbow Warriors are currently available at -8. The total for the game is sitting at 76.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Hawaii vs San Jose State
San Jose State dropped back below the .500 mark on the season last weekend, falling 51-41 at home against #21 overall Boise State. The Spartans appeared to be well on their way to pulling off a massive upset before getting outscored 21-8 in the fourth quarter en route to a double-digit loss. QB Josh Love went 29/53 for 438 passing yards and two touchdowns but also got picked off once. Love did find the end zone once on the ground as well while DeJon Packer rushed for 28 yards and two scores on a team-high ten carries. Tre Walker led the way for the receiving corps, exploding for 193 yards on nine catches. Overall, San Jose State gained almost 500 total yards of offense and scored five touchdowns despite coming up just short on the scoreboard.
The Spartans obviously had an awful outing on the other side of the ball against Boise State, giving up over 450 total yards of offense and six touchdowns. San Jose State had no answer for Broncos RB George Holani, as he torched the defense for 126 rushing yards and four touchdowns on 28 carries.
Hawaii has now lost three out of their last four games after dropping a tough 41-38 decision at home against Fresno State last weekend. The Rainbow Warriors gave up 17 unanswered points in the third quarter and never fully recovered, coming up a field goal short on the scoreboard as time expired despite scoring two late touchdowns. QB Cole McDonald went 21/42 for 275 passing yards and a touchdown through the air while also adding a touchdown on the ground as well. Miles Reed also found the end zone on one of his team-high 14 carries for 75 rushing yards. JoJo Ward was on the receiving end of the only passing touchdown of the game for the offense, hitting pay dirt and making four catches for 71 yards. As a whole, Hawaii generated around 550 total yards of offense and scored five touchdowns in the loss.
The Rainbow Warriors really struggled defensively against Fresno State, allowing over 500 total yards of offense and five touchdowns. Hawaii couldn’t find a way to contain Bulldogs RB Ronnie Rivers on the ground, as he racked up 103 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 19 carries.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: San Jose State +8
It certainly doesn’t look like their will be any shortage of offense in this Mountain West clash on Saturday evening, as both schools have scored at least 34 points in three out of their last four games. Unfortunately, the total is already extremely high in this matchup, so I’m not really seeing a ton of value with the OVER despite the fact that this game will likely turn into a shootout. However, I certainly don’t mind taking the Spartans and the points in this particular spot. San Jose State could easily find a way to win this game outright, as they almost knocked off #21 overall Boise State last weekend. They also have a better record against the spread than Hawaii through the first ten weeks of the season, going a respectable 5-3-1 ATS over their first nine games.
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The Rainbow Warriors haven’t really fared all that well at home in conference games so far this year, as they have yet to cover the number when facing a Mountain West opponent at Aloha Stadium. They are also just 2-5 against the spread over their last seven meetings with San Jose State overall, which certainly doesn’t bode well for them here in Week 11. On the other side, the Spartans are a rock-solid 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. I’m more than happy to take the eight points in this Mountain West battle, as I wouldn’t be at all surprised if San Jose State won straight up on Saturday night. Give me the Spartans to cover on the road!