The Houston Tigers (8-3) travel to Tennessee on Friday to battle the Memphis Tigers (7-4) in AAC West action. Kickoff is set for 12:00 PM EST at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium and the game will be broadcast on ABC.
Taking a look at the Week 13 college football odds, Memphis opened as a 7.5-point home favorite earlier this week. That line has yet to move at all after early betting, as the Tigers are currently listed at -7.5. The total for the game is sitting at 75.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Memphis vs Houston
Houston has now won six out of their last eight games after a lopsided 48-17 victory over Tulane last weekend. It was a solid effort from the Cougars after hitting a rough patch in Week 10 and 11, losing consecutive games to SMU and Temple. QB D’Eriq King has looked fantastic all season long, throwing for 2,982 yards and 36 touchdowns in only 11 games. King has also thrown at least three touchdowns in eight of his last eleven games. He has had a ton of help from the dynamic receiving duo of Marquez Stevenson and Keith Corbin who have combined for 1,500 yards and 17 touchdowns. Houston has also been quite effective running the football, averaging 235.8 rushing yards per game. RB Patrick Carr leads the way on the ground, racking up 733 yards and five touchdowns. As a whole, the offense is currently averaging a very impressive 47.8 points per game (4th overall).
The Cougars have really struggled a lot on the other side of the ball, as opponents are currently averaging 32.8 points per game (101st overall). Houston has been badly exposed through the air, as they are currently giving up the most passing yards per game in the entire country – 298.9 per game.
Memphis has also been riding a ton of momentum as of late, winning six out of their last nine games overall. The Tigers had scored 59 and 47 points in back to back games before grinding out a tough 28-18 road win over SMU in Week 12. QB Brady White has looked solid through eleven games, passing for 2,738 yards and 24 touchdowns. White has also thrown two or more touchdowns in seven of his last nine games. Memphis has been almost unstoppable on the ground, averaging 264.5 rushing yards per game. RB Darrell Henderson has been an absolute beast, racking up 1,521 yards and 17 touchdowns on the year so far. Overall, the offense is currently averaging 43.1 points per game (7th overall).
The Tigers haven’t been all that great defensively through their first eleven games, allowing opponents to score an average of 29.4 points per game (81st overall). While they have been somewhat average against the run – 57th overall – they have really struggled to defend against the pass, as opponents are averaging 241.5 yards per game (86th overall).
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: OVER 75.5
Houston has confused a lot of bettors so far this season, as they have either played really well or really poorly so far at random intervals. While it seems like a good idea to take the free touchdown in a game they could easily win straight up, I simply don’t have enough faith in their defense that is ranked dead-last in terms of points against per game. Luckily, Memphis has also played quite poorly on the defensive side of the ball through eleven games as well. Still not sure what I’m getting at? Basically, both of these teams are averaging over 40.0 points per game on offense. With both schools struggling so badly to keep opponents out of the end zone, this is shaping up to be a Chiefs vs Rams type game where 45+ points are scored and whoever gets the ball last wins.
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The Cougars have been going over the number all year long, as the total has now gone OVER in four out of their last five games overall. The total has also gone OVER in five out Houston’s last six road games. Finally, and perhaps most importantly, the total has gone OVER in four out of the last six meetings between these two AAC West rivals.
What is the one thing I am most sure will happen in this particular matchup? Scoring – and LOTS of it. To be honest, I’d probably take the OVER on 80 points as well, since these two teams are averaging 90+ points combined per game (47.8 and 43.1) and have been giving up a combined average of 62.2 points per game on defense. In any event, taking the over on 75.5 seems like great value.