The Illinois Fighting Illini will look to get back in the win column this weekend against the Indiana Hoosiers after losing seven straight games. Kickoff will be at 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, November 11th from Memorial Stadium in Champaign, Illinois. The game will be televised on the Big Ten Network.
Indiana enters this game as 9 point road favorites. Early betting has shifted the line slightly, as the Hoosiers originally opened at -8. The over/under for the game is 48.5 points. Click here for a full list of Week 10 betting odds and links to game previews.
Indiana vs Illinois Betting Line & Game Preview
The Hoosiers have now lost four straight games and really need to turn things around quickly if they hope to participate in a bowl game this season. Indiana got crushed at home 45-17 last weekend against Wisconsin to drop to 3-6 overall and a woeful 0-6 against the Big 10. The road to a bowl appearance is now relatively straightforward : the Hoosiers must win three consecutive games against Illinois, Rutgers, and Purdue respectively. QB Peyton Ramsey has only thrown for 1,252 yards in nine games while adding 10 touchdowns. Richard Lagow has added another 8 touchdown passes of his own. Indiana has only marginally better on the ground, averaging 114.5 rushing yards per contest. Defensively, the Hoosiers are allowing an average of 28.8 points on 349.3 total yards per game.
As mentioned previously, Illinois has now lost seven consecutive games. The Fighting Illini are ranked almost dead last in the entire country in terms of scoring offense, averaging just 16.7 points per game. QB Jeff George Jr. is only completing 52.3 percent of his passes and has barely thrown for 1,000 yards. George Jr. has also thrown almost twice as many interceptions as touchdowns. RB Mike Epstein leads the way on the ground for an Illinois rushing offense that is averaging 116.1 yards per contest. On the other side of the ball, the Fighting Illini are allowing opponents to score an average of 28.9 points per game on just over 400 total yards.
Free NCAAF Betting Prediction: UNDER 48.5
This is shaping up to be a pretty ugly game between two struggling teams. The Hoosiers are 0-6-1 ATS in their past seven conference games and 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. On the other hand, Illinois is just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games, 2-7 ATS over their last nine conference games, and 3-9 ATS in their past 12 games overall. Indiana should win this game outright, but I don’t have enough faith in their streaky play to feel comfortable spotting a desperate Illinois team 9 points.
However, I do think that taking the under on 48.5 total points offers decent value in this spot. The under is 5-1 in the Fighting Illini’s past six home games and 5-1 in Indiana’s last six road games. The Hoosiers have scored less than 20 points in 3 out of their past 4 games and currently ranked tied for 80th in scoring offense with an average of 25.9 points per game. Illinois has looked even worse than that en route to a 122nd overall scoring offense ranking.
Click on the link for more free NCAA football picks against the spread and total.
The most staggering offensive statistic for the Fighting Illini is that all three of the quarterbacks on their roster have thrown more interceptions than touchdowns. In total, the trio has combined for 15 interceptions and just 6 touchdowns. Indiana is certainly no defensive juggernaut, but I would be shocked if Illinois managed to score more than 14 points in this game. I expect Indiana to grind out a road victory on Saturday afternoon in a game that should finish with well below 48 points scored.