This Saturday the Maryland Terrapins (3-4, 1-3 Big Ten) will host the Indiana Hoosiers (3-4, 0-4 Big Ten) in a matchup of two Big Ten trying to save their season. Kickoff is set for 3:30 EST at Maryland Stadium and will be televised on the Big Ten Network.
Oddsmakers currently have the Hoosiers listed as 4-point road favorite with the total set at 52 points. Click on the link for a detailed look at the Week 9 NCAA football odds.
Indiana vs Maryland Vegas Game Odds & Betting Preview
The Hoosiers come into this one off a crushing 9-17 loss at Michigan State, which was an even more painful defeat for those who backed Indiana as a 7-point dog. The Hoosiers led 9-3 midway through the 4th quarter and were only down 9-10 with less than 2 minutes to play, before the Spartans added a late score to make the deficit 8. That comes after losing the previous week 20-27 in OT to Michigan as a 6.5-point dog.
The Terps are also coming off a game it felt like they should have covered but ended up on the wrong end of things. Maryland lost 38-13 at Wisconsin as a 24 point dog. They were down just 22 and in good shape until the Badgers decided to kick a field goal with 36 seconds left.
Last year’s meeting between these two teams resulted in a shootout, with Indiana coming out on top 42-36. The Hoosiers also covered as a 4.5-point home favorite and the game flew over the total of 55.
College Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Indiana -4
I think the value here is clearly with the Hoosiers laying less than a touchdown against Maryland. You could make a pretty strong argument that Indiana is the best 3-4 team in the country. Their 4 losses have come against Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan and Michigan State, who are a combined 24-4 on the season.
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They were also competitive in all of those games. They had 2nd half leads against everyone but Penn State and only trailed the Nittany Lions by 14 at the half. Indiana has also taken care of business against lesser opponents, winning 34-17 at Virginia and 52-17 against Georgia Southern.
Maryland started the season with that big road win over Texas, but are just 2-4 since and have lost 3 straight. The Terps looked to be in great shape with two dynamic quarterbacks, but both suffered season-ending injuries and while 3rd stringer Max Bortenschlager has been serviceable, he’s also completing just 49.3% of his attempts and lacks the running threat that made the top two guys on the depth chart so good.
I just don’t see the Terrapins being able to generate enough offense here against a very good Indiana defense. I’ve already mentioned some of the elite teams that Indiana has played and that only makes it that much more impressive that they are sitting 29th in the country in total defense, allowing just 342 yards/game. In comparison, Maryland is 106th giving up 439 yards/game.
There is a slight concern here with the fact that Indiana is coming off such a heartbreaking loss, but I think the fact that they are still searching for their first Big Ten win of the season is going to have them locked in from the start in this one.