The Indiana Hoosiers (6-2) host the Northwestern Wildcats (1-6) this weekend for a BIG 10 showdown from Bloomington. Kickoff is set for 7:00 PM EST on November 2nd at Indiana University Memorial Stadium and the game will be televised on FS1.
Taking a look at the Week 10 college football odds, Indiana opened as a 12-point home favorite earlier this week. That spread hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as the Hoosiers are currently available at -12. The total for the game is sitting at 46.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Indiana vs Northwestern
Northwestern has now lost six out of their first seven games on the season after falling 20-0 at home to #19 overall Iowa last weekend. The Wildcats defense kept them in the game but their anemic offense let them down yet again in Week 9, getting completely shut-out just a week after scoring only a single field goal against Ohio State. QB Aidan Smith went 18/32 for 138 yards through the air while RB Isaiah Bowser led the way on the ground despite rushing for only 36 yards on 14 carries. None of the receivers found much success against a solid Hawkeyes secondary, as only Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman gained more 41 yards or made more than three total catches. As a whole, Northwestern only generated 207 total yards of offense in the double-digit loss.
The Wildcats had a decent outing on the other side of the ball against Iowa, surrendering just over 300 total yards of offense and giving up two touchdowns. Northwestern did struggle a little bit trying to slow down Hawkeyes WR Tyrone Tracy, as he racked up 88 receiving yards and a touchdown despite making only two catches.
Indiana won their fourth straight game last weekend, beating Nebraska 38-31 on the road to move to 6-2 on the season overall. The Hoosiers trailed 21-16 at the end of the second quarter but came out flying after halftime, outscoring the Cornhuskers 22-10 over the final 30 minutes of the game en route to a seven-point victory. QB Peyton Ramsey went 27/40 for 351 yards and two touchdowns through the air but also got picked off once. However, Ramsey did find the end zone on one of his nine carries for 42 rushing yards on the ground. Whop Philyor led the way for the receiving corps, exploding for 14 receptions and 178 yards. Overall, Indiana gained well over 450 total yards of offense and scored five touchdowns against a shell-shocked Nebraska defense.
The Hoosiers weren’t all that great defensively against Nebraska, giving up over 500 total yards of offense and four touchdowns. Indiana had no answer for the Cornhuskers RB duo of Wan’Dale Robinson and Noah Vedral, as they combined for 104 rushing yards and three touchdowns.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Indiana -12
I’m definitely leaning more toward Indiana in this particular spot, as the Hoosiers have clearly been the better team so far this season – especially on offense where they have scored at least 31 points in five consecutive games. That certainly is a stark contrast to the offensive struggles that Northwestern has experienced through their first seven games, scoring an embarrassing 38 total points over their last five games combined. While they should be able to find a little bit more success against an Indian defense that has given up almost 60 points over their last two outings, I’m still not overly optimistic about the Wildcats chances of keeping up with the high-flying Hoosiers on the road here in Week 10.
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Even though Northwestern has gone a perfect 3-0 against the spread over the last three meetings between these two BIG 10 programs, I’d still much rather take Indiana to cover the number on Saturday evening. The Wildcats have clearly taken a big step back this year, so their domination in this matchup over the past couple of years isn’t the least bit concerning to me. It is also important to note that the Hoosiers are a rock-solid 4-1 against the spread in their last five games overall and 4-2 ATS over their last six meetings at home against Northwestern. I’ll lay the 12 points and roll with the double-digit home favorites in what should be a relatively low-scoring, defensive battle.