One team will reach a bowl game and one team will fall one win short when the Indiana Hoosiers visit the Purdue Boilermakers. Kickoff is at noon EST on Saturday, November 25 at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, Indiana. Fans can watch the game on ESPN2.

Oddsmakers list Purdue as 2.5-point favorites at home with an over/under of 47 points. Click here to check out a full list of Week 13 betting odds and links to game previews.

Indiana vs Purdue Vegas Game Odds & Betting Predictions

Indiana has won must-win games the past two weeks to get to 5-6 on the season keep their bowl hopes alive. To be fair, those wins have come against Illinois and Rutgers, so the competition level isn’t exactly high. However, they’ve done well to take care of business against weaker teams to keep their bowl hopes alive.

Purdue has also started to come on strong late in the season. The Boilermakers have won two of their last three to make them 5-6 on the season. Last week’s road win against Iowa was particularly impressive and easily their best win of the season. Purdue has been absent from bowl season the last four years, so getting to six wins would be a huge step forward in Jeff Brohm’s first season.

In addition to the winner going to a bowl game, the winner of this game also wins the Old Oaken Bucket, a trophy that these two schools have fought over since 1925. Purdue has a huge lead in the all-time series, but the Hoosiers currently have a four-game winning streak over the Boilermakers.

Free College Football Betting Selection: Purdue -2.5

This game is essentially a PK, but I’ll lean toward Purdue. The Boilermakers are the home team and going to a bowl game means more to their program. With the momentum they have after last week’s win over Iowa, I think Purdue will find a way to win by a field goal and go to a bowl game.

Overall, Purdue has been the better team for most of the season. While Indiana has been blown out a few times, the Boilermakers haven’t lost a game by more than 18 points. Even games against teams like Louisville and Wisconsin were one-possession games. Meanwhile, Indiana has lost lopsided games to Wisconsin, Penn State, and Ohio State.

Click on the link for more free NCAA football picks against the spread and total. 

Those results, as well as the win over Iowa last week, tell me that Purdue’s talent level is a little higher than Indiana. The Boilermakers have also made a nice transition to Elijah Sindelar taking over as the full-time quarterback following the injury to David Blough. Sindelar did his best in a failed comeback attempt against Northwestern a couple weeks ago and then played his best game of the season last week against Iowa. 

The Purdue defense has also been quietly consistent over the course of the season. Only Louisville and Michigan have managed to score more than 25 points against the Boilermakers this season. They’ve proven to be far more capable of holding a team under wraps than the Hoosiers.

I’m also a little underwhelmed by Indiana’s offense, despite the 41-0 win over Rutgers last week. The Hoosiers aren’t that effective running the ball, even compared to Purdue’s average rushing attack. I’m also not sold on the passing skills of quarterback Richard Lagow, as his accuracy isn’t as consistent as it needs to be.

Obviously, this is a game that could go either way. But I think Purdue is a little better and should be a little more motivated, especially playing at home. With only a field goal to cover, I’ll take my chances with Brohm and the Boilermakers.