The #10 overall Penn State Nittany Lions (5-0) travel to Iowa City this weekend for a BIG 10 duel with the #17 overall Iowa Hawkeyes (4-1). Kickoff is set for 7:30 PM EST on Saturday, October 12th at Kinnick Stadium and the game will be nationally televised on ABC.
Taking a look at the Week 7 college football odds, Penn State opened as a 3-point road favorite earlier this week. That spread has increased by a point and a half after early betting, as the Nittany Lions are currently listed at -4.5. The total for the game is sitting at 43.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Iowa vs Penn State
Penn State remained undefeated through their first games after beating Purdue 35-7 at home to improve to 5-0 on the season overall last weekend. The Nittany Lions scored 21 unanswered points in the first quarter and never looked back after that, giving up just a single touchdown the rest of the way. QB Sean Clifford was 20/29 for 264 yards and three touchdowns through the air while also adding 33 rushing yards and a score on the ground. RB Noah Cain also had a big outing, racking up 105 yards and a touchdown on only 12 carries. WR Jahan Dotson led the way for the receiving corps, finding the end zone on one of his two catches for 79 yards. As a whole, Penn State gained almost 500 toal yards of offense and scored five touchdowns in the victory.
The Nittany Lions defense also turned in an impressive performance in Week 6, giving up just over 100 total yards of offense and only one touchdown to the Boilermakers. Penn State was especially strong defending against the rush, as Purdue actually finished the game with net negative yardage on the ground.
Iowa lost their first game of the season in Week 6, losing a close 10-3 decision on the road to #16 overall Michigan. The Hawkeyes gave up 10 unanswered points in the first quarter and never recovered, scoring just a single field goal over the final 45 minutes. QB Nathan Stanley had a terrible outing, going 23/42 for 260 yards for no touchdowns while also throwing three costly interceptions. The duo of Toren Young and Tyler Goodson never really got anything going on the ground, combining for just 55 yards on 14 carries. Goodson did lead the way for the receiving corps, making five receptions for 62 yards. Overall, Iowa could only muster well under 300 total yards of offense and three points against a stifling Wolverines defense.
The Hawkeyes were outstanding defensively in Week 6, giving up under 300 total yards and only allowing the Michigan offense to score ten points. Iowa really did a great job defending against the pass, as Wolverines QB Shea Patterson was just 14/26 for 147 yards and got picked off once as well.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Penn State -4.5
It will be interesting to see how Iowa rebounds after their first loss of the season last weekend, as they played extremely well defensively against the Wolverines but just couldn’t find a way to get anything going on the other side of the ball. Their offense will be put to the test yet again here in Week 7, as Penn State has given up just 30 total points over their last four games combined. The Nittany Lions also appear to be heating up on offense after a bit of a lull against Pitt in Week 3, as they have now scored 94 points in just their last two outings. As long as this spread stays under five points, I think Penn State offers the most value in this matchup despite having to play on the road. They have yet to show any real cracks through the first six weeks of the regular season, winning four out of their five games by at least 28 points.
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The Nittany Lions have also owned Iowa against the spread over their last several meetings, going a rock-solid 4-1 ATS in their last five battles. Penn State is also a perfect 5-0 straight up against the Hawkeyes over that same time span. On the other side, Iowa is only 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against BIG 10 opponents. This should be an extremely close, competitive game but I think that the Nittany Lions should be able to do enough to grind out a tough road cover down the stretch. I’ll lay the points and roll with the slight favorite in this matchup – give me Penn State to cover!