This Saturday the Iowa State Cyclones (3-3) will host the Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-2). Kickoff for this Big 12 showdown is set for 12:00 EST at Jack Trice Stadium and will be televised on ESPN2.
Oddsmakers opened this line up with Iowa State as a 6-point home favorite, but that number has come down to the Cyclones -3.5. The total for this contest is currently at 56 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 9 betting schedule and for more links to our game previews.
Iowa State vs Texas Tech Vegas Betting Odds & Game Preview
The Red Raiders come into this one off an easy win and cover in a 48-16 victory at home against Kansas as a 18.5-point favorite. Texas Tech took control early with a 24-3 lead at the half. The only led 27-9 going into the 4th quarter, but rattled off 21 straight to take a 48-9 advantage. Alan Bowman returned at quarterback and put up 408 yards and 3 scores on 36 of 46 passing.
The Cyclones will be returning from their bye looking to build on an impressive 30-14 win at home over West Virginia. It was an even more impressive win than the final score, as they outgained the Mountaineers 498 to 152 with a 25 to 9 edge in first downs. Note that West Virginia came into that game undefeated at 5-0 and ranked No. 6 in the country.
Iowa State won 31-13 as a 7-point road dog at Texas Tech last year, giving them back-to-back blowout wins in the series. They won 66-10 as a 3.5-point home dog in 2016.
College Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Iowa State -3.5
My early lean here would have to be laying the short number with the Cyclones at home. I think Iowa State might be one of the most underrated teams in the entire country right now and certainly don’t feel like they are getting near enough respect with this small line.
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The Cyclones come into this game at 3-3, but could easily be 5-1 and potentially even 6-0. They lost 13-3 at Iowa, who is now 6-1 and ranked No. 18 in the country. They had their chances to win that one, as they trailed just 6-3 in the 4th quarter. They lost 27-37 at home to Oklahoma, who is 6-1 and ranked No. 8. The other loss was a 3-point defeat at TCU without starting quarterback Kyle Kempt and before they turned to Brock Petty.
Speaking of Petty, he’s been outstanding in his two starts since replacing Zeb Noland. Petty threw for 318 yards and 4 scores on the road against Oklahoma State in his first career start and 254 yards and 3 scores against West Virginia (could have threw for more if it wasn’t such a blowout). I think Iowa State has found something special in Petty and simply not many people know about this kid.
His emergence really makes this a dangerous offense, as the Cyclones have one of the best running backs in the country in David Montgomery, who had a season-high 189 yards in the win over the Mountaineers. The thing is, on paper it looks like an awful offense, as they are just 101st in the country, averaging a mere 360.2 yards/game.
I think they are going to have zero problem moving the ball against this Texas Tech defense, which comes in ranked 123rd in the country against the pass, giving up 288.1 ypg.
As for the Red Raiders and their high-powered offense, we saw a similarly hyped offense come into Ames in West Virginia and struggle to pick up first downs. Will Grier, one of the best QBs in the country, went just 11 of 15 for 100 yards. The Cyclones are 20th in the country, giving up just 316.6 ypg and are certainly going to feed off what is always a rowdy home crowd at Jack Trice Stadium.
Iowa State is 15-4 ATS over their last 19 games under head coach Matt Campbell and have covered 11 of their last 13 conference games. Give me the Cyclones -3.5.