The Cleveland Browns are still searching for that elusive first ween as they host the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 11. Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST on Sunday, November 19 at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland. The game will be available on CBS in local markets.
The Jaguars are listed as 7.5-point favorites on the road. However, that line has come down after Jacksonville opened at -9. The over/under for the game is 38 points. Click here for a full list of the Week 11 betting odds and links to more game previews.
Jags vs Browns Vegas Betting Line & Game Preview
The possibility of the Browns going winless this season is becoming more and more real. More than half the season is gone and Cleveland is getting further and further away from winning a game, losing their last two games by double digits. There are still seven weeks left to get a win, but once again hope is dwindling and frustration is growing in Cleveland.
Meanwhile, Jacksonville is inching closer and closer to a playoff spot. The Jags have won three games in a row to improve to 6-3, giving them a slim lead over the Titans atop the AFC South. If Jacksonville can take care of business against teams with losing records the rest of the way, it’ll be tough to keep them out of the playoffs.
Free NFL Betting Prediction: Browns +7.5
It’s tough to pick the Browns. However, I think there are several factors in this game that are working against Jacksonville that could make it difficult for them to cover the spread. It’s tough to do, but I’ll take my chances with the Browns.
Injuries are a big reason why I’m hesitant to pick the Jags this week. Leonard Fournette is once again listed as questionable. The same is true for multiple members of the Jacksonville offensive line and some of their top receivers. Allen Hurns has been ruled out, while Marquise Lee and Marcedes Lewis may not play either. The Jags could potentially be without their top rusher and four of their top six receivers.
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For some teams, having that many players listed as questionable wouldn’t be a huge issue, but it is for the Jags. Blake Bortles isn’t consistent enough to be trusted with so many key playmakers missing. Without Fournette, who only managed 33 yards on 17 carries last week, the Jacksonville offense could be hindered in a significant way.
I’m also worried about the weather forecast, which is calling for cold temperatures and plenty of wind. Such weather conditions typically make things easier for the underdog. If it’s windy, both teams may be forced to rely on their ground game. That could give Cleveland a slight edge.
Even if Fournette plays, he’s already stated that he doesn’t like playing in the cold. Meanwhile, the Browns have had a decent running game this year. In fact, they rushed for more than 200 yards against the Lions last week. The Cleveland defense has also been good about stopping the run this season.
Finally, the Jaguars, most notably safety Tashaun Gipson, have engaged in some trash talk this week. Obviously, Jacksonville should feel confident about beating the winless Browns. But if the Browns feel disrespected, they’ll want to put up a fight and not roll over at the first sign of trouble. Even if they’re 0-9, you don’t want to poke the bear.
Admittedly, taking the Browns is a little risky. But the Jags have struggled to put their foot down against bad teams this season. For example, they lost to the Jets earlier this year and barely beating the Chargers last week. I can see a similar storyline this week. It’s a little risky, but I don’t mind taking a chance on the Browns this week.