The Houston Texans (5-3) travel to London, England this weekend for an AFC South showdown with the Jacksonville Jaguars (4-4). Kickoff is set for 9:30 AM EST on November 3rd at Wembley Stadium and the game will be broadcast on the NFL Network and fuboTV.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Jaguars listed as 1.5-point home underdogs. The spread hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as Jacksonville is currently available at +1.5. The total for this matchup is 46.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 9 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Jaguars vs Texans Game Odds & Betting Preview
The Texans have now won three out of their last four games after slipping by Oakland 27-24 at home last weekend to improve to 5-3 on the season overall. Houston trailed 14-10 at the half but fought back in the fourth quarter, scoring two touchdowns en route to a comeback victory. QB Deshaun Watson continued to light it up through the air, throwing for 279 passing yards and three touchdowns. Watson also added 46 rushing yards on the ground while RB Carlos Hyde chipped in with 83 yards on 19 carries. DeAndre Hopkins led the way for the receiving corps with 11 receptions for 109 yards but it was TE Darren Fells who had the most success, finding the end zone twice on two of his six catches for 58 yards. As a whole, the Texans generated well over 400 total yards of offense and scored three touchdowns in the win.
Houston was somewhat average defensively against the Raiders, giving up over 350 total yards of offense and three touchdowns. The Texans secondary really struggled to slow down Tyrell Williams and Hunter Renfrow, as they combined for two touchdowns and 179 receiving yards.
The Jaguars won their second straight game last weekend, beating the New York Jets 29-15 at home to get back to the .500 mark on the season overall. Jacksonville jumped out to a 19-7 lead in the second quarter and never looked back, giving up just eight points the rest of the way. QB Gardner Minshew went 22/34 for 279 yards and three touchdowns through the air while Leonard Fournette racked up 136 all-purpose yards out of the backfield. The speedy receiving duo of Chris Conley and D.J. Chark also had a stellar afternoon, combining for 182 yards and two touchdowns. Overall, the Jaguars offense gained almost 400 total yards of offense and found the end zone three times against a beleaguered New York defense.
Jacksonville had a decent outing on the other side of the ball in Week 8, holding the Jets to just over 250 total yards of offense and two touchdowns. The Jaguars really did a good job getting pressure to QB Sam Darnold, as they recorded three interceptions and held the sophomore to 218 passing yards.
Free NFL Betting Predictions and Pick: OVER 46.5
While I also don’t mind laying the 1.5 points and rolling with the slight road favorite in this pivotal AFC South battle, I am at least slightly concerned about how the Texans will fare on defense now that J.J. Watt is out for the rest of the season due to a torn pectoral muscle. Watt is obviously an integral member of the defense and also is relied upon in a critically important leadership role, so his absence might take the rest of the defense some time to adjust to. Jacksonville has also won two straight games, although I’m definitely not going to overreact to victories over the Bengals and Jets either. Not really wanting to throw darts against the spread, I think I prefer to target the OVER on 46.5 total points scored in this matchup, as both offenses have really been firing on all cylinders as of late. Houston has now scored 134 total points in just their last four games combined while Jacksonville has put up 27 or more points in three out of their last four outings.
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Even though divisional clashes have historically been lower scoring, the fact that this game is in London also has me leaning towards the OVER. Games taking place across the pond have traditionally been quite high scoring in recent years, likely due to the impact of either jet-lag, disrupted routines, and unfamiliar surroundings – or a combination of all three. In any event, defenses have been prone to making a few more uncharacteristic mistakes, which Watson and Minshew are more than capable of capitalizing on. I still don’t mind taking Houston to win outright and cover the spread, but Ill probably wind up just sticking to the OVER on 46.5 total points scored.