The Buffalo Bills travel to East Rutherford, New Jersey this weekend for an AFC East showdown with the Buffalo Bills. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on September 8th at MetLife Stadium and the game will be broadcast on CBS.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Jets listed as 3-point home favorites. That line has yet to change after early betting, as New York is currently available at -3. The total for this matchup is 40 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 1 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Jets vs Bills Vegas Game Odds & Betting Preview
New York Jets
The Jets will hope to rebound in 2019 after a poor season last year, as the green and white went just 4-12 overall which was last in the AFC East. Rookie QB Sam Darnold had an up and down rookie season, finishing with 2,865 passing yards and 17 touchdowns. However, he also threw 15 interceptions, which will certainly need to be addressed moving forward if New York hopes to get back in the playoff picture. He should get a big boost to start the season after two big free-agent acquisitions over the summer, as Le’Veon Bell and Jamison Crowder will definitely bolster an offense that averaged just 20.8 points per game in 2018 (23rd overall). Bell in particular will be very interesting to watch over the first several weeks of the season, as there still may be some rust after his prolonged holdout with the Steelers just a year ago. Still, he should help turn around a Jets rushing attack that only averaged 101.4 yards per game on the ground last season (26th overall).
New York also had a rough season defensively in 2018, allowing opponents to average 27.6 points per game (29th overall). The Jets defense really couldn’t find a way to have prolonged success against either the run or the pass, ranking 26th and 24th overall respectively.
Buffalo could be a team on the rise after going 6-10 in Josh Allen’s first season as a starting quarterback in the NFL. Allen showed some rookie jitters early on but still managed to turn in some impressive performances, finishing his first year in the league with 2,074 yards and ten touchdowns. However, much like Sam Darnold, interceptions were extremely problematic for the former Wyoming star. As a whole, the Buffalo offense averaged just 16.8 points per game in 2018 (30th overall). They also had the league’s second worst passing offense, averaging only 174.6 yards through the pair per game (31st overall). However, they were much better on the ground, racking up 124.0 rushing yards per game (9th overall). It remains to be see how the offense fares after the departure of LeSean McCoy, although rookie Devin Singletary was so impressive in training camp that Buffalo felt as though he was ready to have a significant role in the backfield.
The Bills defense was slightly below average in 2018, giving up 23.4 points per game (19th overall). However, they did an elite job defending against the pass, ranking first in the NFL by allowing only 179.2 yards per game through the air.
Free NFL Betting Predictions and ATS Pick: Jets -3
I’m a bit surprised that New York is only favored by a field goal at home on Sunday, especially after the acquisition of Le’veon Bell. Although his exact usage moving forward remains a bit of a mystery, his presence definitely gives the Jets a bid of an edge in this matchup. Without Bell, I may have taken the points and gone with Buffalo in this spot, especially when considering how good they were against the pass in 2018. However, Bell should create enough space for Anderson to make some big plays down the field, while Crowder should have some extra room to operate in the slot as well. There are just too many mismatches for Buffalo on defense for me to feel comfortable with them here in Week 1, especially when considering Allen’s struggles with turnovers on the other side of the ball.
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While the Jets defense may give up a few big plays to Allen and his new deep-threat John Brown, I think they should also force some key turnovers. It is also important to remember that it may take Devin Singletary a few weeks to adjust to his new role in the NFL, as the Bills coaching staff has already expressed wanting to split carries out of the backfield to start the year. Ultimately, New York should find a way to take care of business here in Week 1 after a very successful offseason over the summer – give me the Jets!