The Buffalo Bills (2-7) travel to East Rutherford this weekend for a meeting with the New York Jets (3-6). Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on November 11th at MetLife Stadium and the game will be broadcast on CBS.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Jets listed as 8-point home favorites. That line has moved only slightly after early betting, as New York is currently available at -7.5. The total for this matchup is 37 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 10 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Jets vs Bills Vegas Odds & Game Preview
Buffalo fell to 2-7 on the season last weekend after a lopsided 41-9 loss to Chicago. The Bills were dominated on both sides of the ball, as the Bears scored four touchdowns on offense and added two more on defense. QB Nathan “Don’t Call Me J.” Peterman was a disaster yet again, throwing for just 188 yards while getting picked off three times. Peterman now has an embarrassingly bad 1-7 TD:INT ratio in his handful of starts this year. He will likely be forced to start again here in Week 10, as Derek Anderson and Josh Allen are both still injured. Buffalo has also really struggled to move the ball on the ground, as it appears that Chris Ivory and LeSean McCoy have moved into a time-share. Both backs haven’t really done much over their first nine games, combining for just 547 rushing yards. As a whole, the offense is currently averaging just 10.7 points per game (32nd overall) on 248.3 total yards.
Things have looked marginally better on the other side of the ball for the Bills, as they are holding opponents to 26.8 points per game (26th overall) on 313.7 yards of total offense. They have been quite good against the pass, as they are giving up an average of just 212.0 yards per game through the air (3rd overall).
New York lost their third game in a row last weekend, falling 13-6 on the road in Miami last weekend to drop to 3-6 overall. The Jets really struggled to get anything going offensively, as QB Sam Darnold passed for just 229 yards and no touchdowns. He also threw a season-high four interceptions, moving his INT total up to 14 in just nine games. Darnold injured his foot against the Dolphins, so Josh McCown will be taking over the reigns at quarterback. McCown could be in tough, as WR Robby Anderson has cooled off after a scorching hot start. RB Isaiah Crowell has also struggled as of late, rushing for just 49 yards in Week 9. Overall, New York is averaging just 22.0 points per game (22nd overall) on 310.6 yards of total offense.
The Jets have been about average defensively, as they are currently giving up 23.7 points per game (15th overall) on 351.7 yards of total offense. They have been fairly good against both the run and the pass, ranking 18th and 13th overall respectively.
Free NFL Betting Prediction: Buffalo +7.5
Let me start off by saying that I’m most likely going to stay away from this matchup completely. Two backup quarterbacks on horrible teams going up against each other? Pass. However, the total in this game is currently below 40 points, so Vegas certainly isn’t expecting a lot of offense. While I still think the Jets should cruise to victory, this has all the makings of a 13-10 type scoreline. Even if New York wins by a full touchdown, the Bills would still cover the number if the line stays the same as it is right now.
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The underdog is a rock-solid 5-1 ATS over the last six meetings between these two teams. New York is also just 6-18 ATS over their last 24 games in the month of November. They are also just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against teams from the AFC and 1-3-1 ATS over their last five against an AFC East opponent.
Sam Darnold hasn’t been that great in his rookie season thus far, so it will be interesting to see how Josh McCown performs for the Jets against a tough Buffalo pass defense. It was just announced that former USC Trojan Matt Berkley will start this week for Buffalo, so at least Bills fans won’t be subjected to another Nathan Peterman 3+ interception game. In any event, I think that this game will stay relatively low-scoring (and close) throughout, so I’m going to take a shot with the free points and the road underdog.