The New York Jets (1-3) host the Denver Broncos (2-2) this weekend in Week 5 NFL action. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, October 7th at MetLifeStadium. The game will be televised on CBS.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Jets listed as as 1-point home favorites. That line has remained unchanged after early betting, as New York is currently available at -1. The total for this matchup is 42.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 5 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Jets vs Broncos Vegas Odds & Game Preview
Denver will try to avoid losing their third consecutive game on Sunday after dropping a tough 27-23 decision to the Kansas City Chiefs to fall back to .500 on the season. The Broncos were extremely hot out of the gate to start the year, going to 2-0 after impressive victories over Seattle and Oakland. QB Case Keenum went just 21 for 33 while throwing for 245 yards and no touchdowns. Keenum has now failed to find the end zone for three consecutive games, something that is obviously a huge problem for this Denver offense. The ground game for the Broncos has definitely picked up the slack, as Royce Freeman and Phillip Lindsay combined for 136 rushing yards and two touchdowns last weekend. Denver is currently averaging just 21.0 points per game (25th) on 383.3 total yards.
On the other side of the ball, the Broncos are giving up 24.3 points per game (16th) on 366.8 total yards. Denver has done a nice job against the run, limiting opponents to an average of just 93.8 yards per game (8th). However, they have struggled a bit defending the pass, as they are giving up an average of 273.0 yards per game through the air (19th).
New York is coming off a tough 31-12 loss against Jacksonville last weekend. After surprising everyone in Week 1 by putting up 40+ points against Detroit, the Jets offense has fallen back to earth over the last three weeks by scoring just 12, 17, and 12 points respectively. Rookie QB Sam Darnold completed only 50% if his passes against the Jags, throwing for 167 yards and one touchdown. Darnold has now failed to reach 200 passing yards three times in just four starts as he experiences his first full season in the NFL. He has also thrown more interceptions (5) than touchdowns (4). RB Isaiah Crowell has experienced a bit of a resurgence this year, already finding the end zone four times. Overall, the Jets are currently scoring 22.3 points per game (21st) on 289.3 yards of total offense.
On the other side of the ball, New York is currently giving up an average of 22.3 points per game (13th) on 355.5 total yards. They are currently ranked pretty close to the middle of the pack league-wide against both the pass (13th) and the run (17th).
Free NFL Betting Prediction: Denver +1
This is shaping up to be one of the least entertaining games on the schedule here in Week 5 of the NFL season. Both offenses are well below league average – Case Keenum hasn’t thrown a TD pass in three games and Sam Darnold hasn’t led the Jets to more than 17 points in three out of his four career starts. In what is pretty much a pick’em, I’m going to go with the team that has the better overall record. It is also important to note that the Broncos have had a much tougher schedule and almost beat the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football in Week 4. Although the Jets where in tough on the road against Jacksonville last weekend, they also couldn’t beat Cleveland or Miami.
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New York is just 5-11-1 ATS over their last 17 games when favored by less than a field goal. They are also 0-4 ATS in their last four games vs AFC teams and 1-4 ATS over their last five games overall. Denver is 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the Jets and 4-1-1 ATS over their last six games against New York.
Denver has certainly has had their fair share of struggles with the secondary, as they have been exposed through the air several times this season. However, I really don’t expect Darnold and Co. to find a ton of success on Sunday afternoon, especially with how disjointed the entire offense has looked since Week 2. WR Quincy Enunwa has been a bright spot for the Jets, but he has been targeted three times as many times as the rest of the receiving corps. The Broncos should be able to contain the rest of the offense, as they have looked quite strong against the run. I think the play in this particular spot is by taking the free point with the road team that also happens to have the better record. Give me the Jets.