The Arizona Cardinals are set to host the New York Jets on Monday Night Football in Week 6. Kickoff is set for 8:30 EST at University of Phoenix Stadium. The game will be televised on ESPN. Oddsmakers have the Cardinals as a 7.5-point favorite with the total at 46.5 points.

Jets vs Cardinals Vegas Odds Preview

New York (1-4) comes into this one off a 13-31 loss at Pittsburgh. The Jets were able to keep it close through 3 quarters, but the offense failed to scoreĀ in the 2nd half.

Arizona (2-3) enters off a 33-21 win at San Francisco last Thursday. The Cardinals did so with starting quarterback Carson Palmer sidelined. It may have been a season-saving victory for Arizona.

Free Betting Pick & Predictions: OVER 46.5

While I think there’s some value with the Jets at +7.5, I don’t trust them here. I wonder if we aren’t seeing a big line to try an entice some public action on New York. Regardless of the fact, I believe the real value here is with the total and it going OVER 46.5.

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Arizona’s offense hasn’t produced at the level most expected through their first 4 games. A lot of that has to do with some poor play from starting quarterback Carson Palmer. The thing to keep in mind, is 3 of Palmer’s 4 starts came against some pretty good defenses. Those being the Patriots, Bills and Rams.

The one exception being the Buccaneers and the results were much better. Palmer threw for 304 yards and 3 touchdowns against Tampa Bay and Arizona put up 40 points.

Coming into the season the Jets were perceived to have a great defense. That hasn’t been the case and I don’t see it changing here. New York can’t stop the pass. They rank 31st in the league against the pass, giving up 303 ypg. They are giving up a ridiculous 8.7 yards/pass attempt and opposing QB’s are completing 71.7% of their attempts against them.

They have been especially vulnerable to the deep ball. That’s a major problem against the Cardinals. Arizona loves to throw it deep and have all kinds of weapons in the passing game.

On the flip side of this, I think the Jets offense will help out in one way or another. New York has some weapons and should be able to get their running game going. Arizona ranks just 23rd at stopping the run, giving up 118.2 ypg. That takes some pressure off of Ryan Fitzpatrick.

At the same time, New York is prone to turnovers. Chances are Arizona’s secondary gets a couple big takeaways. As long as they don’t come in the endzone like they did against the Chiefs, it will help push this over the mark.

If I had to put a number on it, I think Arizona has 30+ points in this game. That means we only need around 17 from the Jets to cash this ticket.

OVER is 7-1 in the Jets last 8 following a SU loss. The OVER is also 8-3 in the Cardinals last 11 against a team with a losing record.