This Sunday the New York Jets (3-2) will host the New England Patriots (3-2) in a surprising matchup that has 1st place in the AFC East up for grabs. Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST at MetLife Stadium and will be televised locally on CBS.

Oddsmakers currently have New England listed as a 9-point favorite with the total set at 47.5 points. Click here for our Week 6 NFL odds page, that includes a betting schedule and links to more games previews.

Patriots vs Jets Vegas Predictions & Betting Odds Preview

New England enters off a 19-14 win on the road over the Bucs on Thursday Night Football in Week 5. The Patriots covered the closing line as 3.5-point favorites, but were as high as 6-point favorites in the days leading up to the game.

The Jets have won 3 straight with the most recent being a 17-14 win on the road over the Browns as a 1.5-point favorite. The previous two victories both came as underdogs on the spread. Quite a turnaround for a team that lost and failed to cover as big dogs in their first two games.

It’s no secret that these two teams don’t like each other, which has led to some closer than expected finals. Prior to the Patriots 41-3 blowout win in the final meeting last year, the previous 7 games had all been decided by less than a touchdown.

NFL Betting Predictions & Free Pick Against the Spread: Pats -9

I would love to what the odds would have been that the Patriots and Jets would have the same record going into their Week 6 showdown. I believe it has New England showing some value and that’s hard to do when you are talking about a near double-digit road favorite against a division rival.

Click on the link for more free NFL picks from our experts on staff.

I’ll be the first to say that I didn’t see the Jets winning 3-games all season, but I’m also not going to let a 3-game winning streak against the Dolphins, Jaguars and Browns change my thought process on this team. I still believe the Jets are one of the worst teams in the league and wouldn’t be shocked if they didn’t win another game.

I think this one is going to get ugly in a hurry. I just don’t see the Jets being able to generate enough offense to keep this close. I know the Patriots defense has been bad to start the year, but they were a lot better last time out against the Bucs. Holding a potent Tampa Bay offense to just 14 points.

One of the reasons for New England’s poor start defensively is a schedule the has had them face Alex Smith, Drew Brees, Deshaun Watson, Cam Newton and Jameis Winston. They finally catch a break here going up against Josh McCown, who has a mere 5 touchdowns to 4 interceptions. Under his guidance the offense has scored 23 or less in all 5 games.

As for the Jets defense and their strong numbers, they have faced Tyrod Taylor, Derek Carr, Jay Cutler, Blake Bortles and DeShone Kizer/Kevin Hogan. Carr is the only one of those who you would consider an above-average QB and he went 23 of 28 for 230 yards and 3 scores in a 25-point blowout win. Even with the home crowd supporting them, I don’t see the Jets keeping the Patriots offense in check here.

I also like the fact that the Patriots haven’t got off to a great start. Not that Belichick would let them look past any opponent, they should be 100% locked in for a division matchup. You also have to factor in the advantage Belichick and his staff have here with New England getting a few extra days to prepare after playing on Thursday last week. All signs point to a lopsided win and cover for the Patriots in this one.