The New York Jets (1-4) welcome the New England Patriots (6-0) in Week 7 for an AFC East showdown on Monday Night Football. Kickoff is set for 8:30 PM EST on October 21st at MetLife Stadium and the game will be televised on ESPN.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Patriots listed as 10-point road favorites. The spread has moved down by half a point after early betting, as New England is currently available at -9.5. The total for this matchup is 42.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 7 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Jets vs Patriots Game Odds & Betting Preview
New England Patriots
The Patriots have now won six consecutive games to start the season, as they beat the New York Giants 35-14 their last time out to move to 6-0 overall. New England scored seven unanswered points in the first quarter and never looked back, scoring four more touchdowns en route to a double-digit victory. QB Tom Brady went 31/41 for 334 passing yards while also rushing for two touchdowns on the ground. RB Sony Michel averaged just under four yards per carry to lead the way out of the backfield. WR Julian Edelman also had a decent game, hauling in nine receptions for 113 yards. As a whole, the Patriots generated just under 450 total yards of offense and scored three offensive touchdowns.
New England was very solid defensively against the Giants, surrendering just over 200 total yards of offense and only allowing a single touchdown. The Patriots really did a great job pressuring rookie QB Daniel Jones, forcing three interceptions.
New York Jets
The Jets finally won their first game of the season last weekend, stunning Dallas 24-22 at home to move to 1-4 on the year overall. New York jumped out to a 21-6 lead in the second quarter and managed to hold on down the stretch despite giving up 16 points over the final 30 minutes of the game. QB Sam Darnold was excellent in his first start since being sidelined with mononucleosis, throwing for 338 yards and two touchdowns. Speedy WR Robby Anderson torched the Cowboys secondary, recording 125 receiving yards and two touchdowns on just five catches. RB Le’Veon Bell found the end zone on the ground on one of his 14 carries for 50 yards. Overall, the Jets gained just under 400 total yards of offense and scored three touchdowns in the victory.
New York had a pretty average outing on the other side of the ball against the Cowboys, giving up over 400 total yards and two touchdowns. The Jets did an excellent job containing Dallas QB Dak Prescott through the air, as he failed to throw a single passing touchdown all game long.
Free NFL Betting Predictions and Pick: Patriots -9.5
I really don’t feel as if there is a ton of value on either side in this AFC East matchup, as this spread looks pretty efficient to me for the most part. I also don’t really see anything all that attractive about the total either, although I’d probably lean slightly towards the OVER on 42.5 – especially with Darnold back at quarterback. While New England beat New York 30-14 at home when these two teams met back in late September, the Jets were forced to start Luke Falk at quarterback with Darnold still sidelined. New York clearly received a huge boost on offense last weekend, but I’m still not 100% comfortable betting against a Pats team that has given up just 45 points over their last four games combined.
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New England has also dominated the Jets against the spread as of late, going 4-2 ATS over their last six meetings. The Patriots are also a rock-solid 8-2 ATS in their last ten games overall and a perfect 10-0 straight up over that same time span. On the other side, New York is a brutal 5-12-1 against the spread over their last 18 meetings with AFC opponents. They are also only 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall. Ultimately, there probably isn’t enough value with either team against the spread in this primetime matchup – but it’s hard to bet against a well-balanced Pats squad that has won five out of their first six games by at least 16 points. I’ll take a stab with the road favorite to grind out a cover here in Week 7 – give me New England.