The #11 overall Baylor Bears (10-1) travel to Lawrence this weekend for a BIG 12 showdown with the Kansas Jayhawks (3-8). Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM EST on November 30th at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium and the game will be nationally televised on ESPN.
Taking a look at the Week 14 college football odds, Baylor opened as a 14-point road favorite earlier this week. The spread hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as the Bears are currently available at -14. The total for the game is sitting at 51 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Kansas vs Baylor
Baylor has now won ten out of their first eleven games after beating Texas 24-10 at home last weekend to improve to 10-1 on the season overall. The Bears scored 14 unanswered points in the third quarter and never looked back, giving up just a single touchdown over the final 30 minutes of the game. QB Charlie Brewer went 16/25 for 221 passing yards and a touchdown through the air while also leading the way on the ground with 75 rushing yards and a score on a team-high 18 carries. Denzel Mims torched the Longhorns secondary, hauling in seven receptions for 125 yards and a touchdown. As a whole, Baylor gained close to 400 total yards of offense and found the end zone three times in the victory.
The Bears had a solid outing on the other side of the ball against Texas, holding the Longhorns to only one touchdown despite giving up just under 400 total yards of offense. Baylor did a great job slowing down QB Sam Ehlinger, limiting him to just 200 passing yards and recording one interception.
Kansas has now lost three straight games after falling 41-31 on the road against Iowa State last weekend to drop to just 3-8 on the season overall. The Jayhawks trailed 14-9 at the half and couldn’t find a way to pull off a comeback over the final two quarters of the game, getting outscored 27-22. QB Carter Stanley certainly did his part, going 23/44 for 328 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air. Pooka Williams Jr. also chipped in, rumbling for 154 rushing yards on a team-high 19 carries. Stephon Robinson Jr. found the end zone in the loss, hitting pay dirt on one of his five catches for 75 yards. Overall, Kansas generated almost 500 total yards and scored three touchdowns on offense despite coming up short on the scoreboard.
The Jayhawks were brutal defensively against Iowa State, surrendering well over 450 total yards of offense and six touchdowns. Kansas had no answer for Cyclones QB Brock Purdy, as he threw for 372 yards and four touchdowns.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Baylor -14
As tempted as I am by the OVER on 51 total points scored, my favorite play in this BIG 12 battle is the Bears against the spread. Baylor has been extremely solid on both sides of the ball this year, losing just one game and going a very respectable 7-4 against the spread. They have also covered the number in two out of their last three road games, which certainly bodes well for them in this particular spot as Kansas is just 2-3 ATS at home. The Jayhawks have certainly been explosive at times on offense, putting up 30+ points in four outings this season. However, their play on defense has been nothing short of horrendous, as they have now surrendered a very troubling 194 total points in just their last five games combined.
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While I do think that the OVER will probably come through in this particular spot, I am a bit concerned about how the Jayhawks have fared offensively against good defenses. Kansas has been very all or nothing on offense this year, putting up 48 points on two separate occasions but also getting to 14 points or less against TCU, Oklahoma State, and Kansas State. Therefore, the best value in this matchup appears to be the road favorite against the spread. Baylor has also dominated this rivalry in recent years, covering the number in eight out of their last ten meetings overall. The Bears are also 4-1 against the spread in their last five battles with Kansas on the road. I’ll lay the two touchdowns and roll with the one-loss team on Saturday afternoon – give me Baylor to cover!