A spot in the Big 12 Championship Game is still possible for the no. 13 Oklahoma State Cowboys as they host the Kansas State Wildcats. Kickoff is set for 3:30 EST on Saturday, November 18 at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, Oklahoma. The game can be seen on ESPN2.

Oddsmakers view the Cowboys as 21-point favorites at home. The over/under is set at 65 points. Click here for a full list of Week 12 betting odds and links to game previews. 

Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Vegas Odds & Game Preview

After a tough Bedlam loss a couple weeks ago, the Cowboys bounced back with a wild 49-42 win last week against the typically defensive-minded Iowa State Cyclones. The win gives OSU a 5-2 record in Big 12 play heading into the final two weeks of the regular season. The Cowboys still need a little help, but if they can win their last two games and TCU loses, Oklahoma State can get a Bedlam rematch in the Big 12 title game.

Meanwhile, Kansas State is still working to solidify a bowl spot. The Wildcats suffered a tough home loss to West Virginia last week, breaking up their momentum after winning back-to-back games. At 5-5 on the season, K-State needs to beat either Oklahoma State this week or Iowa State next week or the Wildcats will fail to reach a bowl for the first time since 2009.

Free College Football Betting Selection: Kansas State +21

My early lean in this game is toward Kansas State, but it’s a tough call. The OSU offense has looked close to unstoppable in recent weeks, and at home, they will be tough to stop. But four of K-State’s five losses have come by a touchdown or less, so they are rarely blown out. The Wildcats are tough defensively and motivated to get a win, so I can’t swallow that many points.

On the season, K-State is allowing just 25 points per game. To be fair, that number is a little higher during conference play. But they were able to hang tough and force some turnovers against a dynamic West Virginia offense last week. I think they’re capable of making things tough on the Cowboys. Even if OSU can score close to 40 points against the Wildcats, that may not be enough to cover the spread.

Click on the link for more free NCAA football picks against the spread and total.

The Oklahoma State defense remains a huge concern. The Cowboys are giving up 30 points per game this season, and five of their seven Big 12 opponents have exceeded that number. If K-State does the same, the Cowboys will need more than 50 points to cover the spread. Even for the Cowboys, scoring that many points against the K-State defense will be tough.

Compared to other teams in the Big 12, the Wildcats are more focused on the run than the pass. If Kansas State can run the ball effectively, they’ll at least shorten the game and make it harder for OSU to pull away and beat the spread. I’m also not convinced that the OSU defense will be able to consistently get stops and get the ball back to the offense. Even with freshman Skylar Thompson starting at quarterback, the Wildcats have proven they can score against bad defenses. 

When it comes down to it, teams need more than a good offense to beat a three-touchdown spread. I’m not the least bit convinced that the Cowboys have a competent defense. I think K-State is good enough defensively to slow down the OSU offense and keep the score within three touchdowns.