Two Big 12 teams just hoping to get to a bowl game will meet when the Kansas State Wildcats visit the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Game time is noon EST on Saturday, November 4 at Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, Texas. Fans can watch the game on FS1.
Oddsmakers have the Red Raiders as 3.5-point home favorites. The over/under for the game is 55.5 points. Click here for a full list of Week 10 betting odds and links to game previews.
Kansas State vs Texas Tech Game Betting Preview & Vegas Odds
The Wildcats snapped a three-game losing streak last week to get them to 4-4 on the season. However, they were unimpressive in a 30-20 win over in-state rival Kansas. To be fair, starting quarterback Jesse Ertz missed the game with an injury, while backup Alex Delton missed the second half with an injury. However, it’s unclear if either will be healthy enough to start this week.
The Wildcats need two more wins or else they’ll miss out on a bowl game for the first time since 2009. With a tough November schedule, Kansas State can’t afford to lose to Texas Tech this week and still hope to make a bowl game.
The Red Raiders are in a similar boat. Texas Tech needs two more wins to secure a bowl game and a loss this week would give them a narrow path to reaching six wins. They’ve also dropped their last three games, including a 49-27 loss to Oklahoma last week. Texas Tech’s only Big-12 win this season has come against Kansas, so they appear to be a level or two below the rest of the conference.
Free College Football Against the Spread Pick: Texas Tech -3.5
I’ll lean toward Texas Tech in this game. It’s not easy swallowing points for a team that’s lost three straight games by double digits, but I have little faith in the Kansas State offense with their quarterback situation so unsettled.
Typically, I would count on Kansas State’s defense to keep the high-scoring Texas Tech offense contained. But after last week’s performance against Kansas, I’m not so sure. The Jayhawks, who are easily the first power-5 team in the country, accumulated nearly 500 yards of offense against the Wildcats. Texas also had a big day offensively against K-State earlier this year, so the Wildcats aren’t always stout on that side of the ball.
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Meanwhile, Texas Tech has one of the top passing offenses in the country. Quarterback Nic Shimonek has 22 touchdown passes and just six interceptions on the season. He’s put up big numbers against every team he’s faced except Iowa State. With the Red Raiders having a decent running game to support him, Shimonek should be able to get the ball in the end zone a few times against K-State.
To be fair, the Texas Tech defense is a disaster. Outside of Kansas and Eastern Washington, every team has scored at least 24 points against the Red Raiders, and most teams score a lot more than that. They’ve given 45 points or more on three separate occasions.
But if both Ertz and Delton are questionable, I’m not sure if the Wildcats will be able to take advantage of a porous defense. There’s only so much running back Alex Barnes can do if K-State doesn’t have competent quarterback play.
There are just too many uncertainties facing Kansas State in this game. Meanwhile, I feel confident that Texas Tech will be able to create big plays in the passing game. That should get them enough points to cover a 3.5-point spread at home.