The TCU Horned Frogs will put their undefeated record on the line this week against the Kansas Jayhawks. Game time is 8:00 EST on Saturday, October 21 at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas. Fans can watch the game on Fox.
Oddsmakers list the Horned Frogs as 37.5-point favorites. The over/under for the game is 61.5 points. Click here for a full list of Week 8 betting odds and links to game previews.
Kansas vs TCU Vegas Game Preview & Betting Odds
No. 4 TCU enters this week 6-0 with the inside track for a spot in the Big 12 title game and perhaps even the College Football Playoff. The Horned Frogs have wins over Arkansas, SMU, Oklahoma State, West Virginia, and Kansas State on their resume. They still have plenty of tough games ahead of them, but considering the wins they have this season, TCU is no fluke. They have earned a spot in the top 5.
Meanwhile, Kansas is in the middle of another long season. The Jayhawks are just 1-5, with their only win coming against FCS opponent Southeast Missouri State. Kansas has lost twice this season to teams in the MAC, and they haven’t been competitive since the start of Big 12 play, including last week’s 45-0 loss to Iowa State.
College Football Free Pick Against the Spread: TCU -37.5
Obviously, this is a big spread, but I have no hesitation in thinking that the Horned Frogs will cover it. TCU’s showdown with Oklahoma is nearly a month away, so it’s not as if they’ll be caught looking ahead. This is a huge mismatch on paper, and as long as TCU keeps their foot on the gas, there’s no reason why they shouldn’t win this game by at least 40 points.
If there’s reason for pause on a spread this big, it’s that TCU has yet to truly blow out anyone this season aside from FCS opponent Jackson State. Outside of that game, TCU’s largest margin of victory is 21 points and their average margin is only around 17 points. That’s a big leap when you think about having to cover 37.5 points.
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However, the teams the Horned Frogs have beat this year are all quality opponents. Arkansas out of the SEC may actually be the weakest team they’ve played outside of Jackson State. There should be no concern that TCU hasn’t completely dominated any team this season. Even a 56-36 win over SMU isn’t all that bad, as SMU has one of the most explosive offenses in the country and is one of the better teams in the American conference.
It’s more important to look at the Jayhawks and how bad they’ve been this year. Aside from losing to two MAC teams by double digits, Kansas is 0-3 in the Big 12, losing by an average of 38 points in those three games. The Jayhawks have lost by at least 45 points in each of the last two weeks, barely gaining 100 total yards last week against Iowa State.
On the season, the Jayhawks are giving up nearly 45 points per game, and again, that includes a win over an FCS team and two losses to MAC teams. This will finally be the week that TCU gets to have a little fun and run up the score on an overmatched opponent. The Horned Frogs have beat five quality FBS programs this season, but this week’s opponent doesn’t fit that description. I feel comfortable leaning toward TCU to cover a nearly 40-point spread against Kansas.