The Texas Longhorns are still scrambling to become bowl eligible as they host the Kansas Jayhawks. Kickoff is set for 6:00 EST on Saturday, November 11 at Royal Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas. Fans can watch the game on the Longhorn Network.
Oddsmakers have the Longhorns as 33-point favorites at home. The over/under for the game is 54.5 points. Click here for a full list of Week 11 betting odds and links to game previews.
Kansas vs Texas Vegas Game Odds & Betting Predictions
The Longhorns are arguably the best 4-5 team in the country. They’ve been competitive in losses to USC, Oklahoma, and Oklahoma State but unable to pull off the upset. As a result, the Longhorns need to win two of their final three games in order to reach a bowl game in Tom Herman’s first season in Austin. Needless to say, they can’t afford a loss to Kansas at this point in the season.
The Jayhawks, meanwhile, would love to avoid going winless in Big 12 play. Kansas has lost eight games in a row after losing last week to previously winless Baylor. With nothing to play for except pride, it’ll be interesting to see if the Jayhawks come out fighting or look like a defeated team.
Oddly enough, Kansas won this matchup last year, beating the Longhorns 24-21 in overtime for their only Big 12 win of the season. The win snapped a 13-game losing streak to Texas. Aside from this game’s importance for their bowl hopes, the Longhorns could be looking to exact some revenge on the Jayhawks.
Free College Football Betting Selection: Kansas +33
I have little doubt that Texas is going to win this game, but this is too many points to swallow. There’s a chance the Longhorns can win this game by five touchdowns. But I feel more comfortable taking Kansas and the points.
As poorly as Kansas has played this year, and they are definitely one of the worst power 5 teams in the country, they’ve done just enough to make me think they can keep the score reasonable against Texas. The Jayhawks kept things close with Kansas State, who is the most similar team to Texas in the Big 12. They also kept the score respectable in a shootout against West Virginia.
Click on the link for more free NCAA football picks against the spread and total.
More than anything, I worry about the inconsistency of the Texas offense. Shane Buechele is back as the starting quarterback with Sam Ehlinger hurt. Buechele should get the job done against Kansas, but he’s not as dangerous as a runner as Ehlinger. Without a running quarterback, the Longhorns have an unimpressive rushing attack. On the season, the Longhorns are only averaging 3.5 yards per carry.
Buechele also isn’t the type of quarterback to take a lot of shots down the field. If the Longhorns are going to cover a 33-point spread, they’re going to need to create some explosive plays offensively. I’m not sure if they’ll trust Buechele to let it fly. The Longhorns may also see no need to push the ball downfield if their defense is playing well. At a certain point, Texas may be content to run the ball and bleed the clock rather than run up the score.
If the spread were a little lower I could see myself leaning toward Texas. But I don’t feel comfortable swallowing 33 points with a Texas team that’s only averaging 28 points per game on the season and doesn’t create a lot of explosive plays. I’ll take my chances with Kansas keeping the final score within five touchdowns.