The Tennessee Volunteers (4-5) head to Lexington this weekend for an SEC East showdown against the Kentucky Wildcats (4-4). Kickoff is set for 7:30 PM EST on November 9th at Kroger Field and the game will be televised on the SEC Network.

Taking a look at the Week 11 college football odds, Kentucky opened as a 1.5-point home favorite earlier this week. The spread has come down by half a point after early betting, as the Wildcats are currently available at -1. The total for the game is sitting at 41.5 points.

Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Kentucky vs Tennessee

Tennessee has now won three out of their last four games after beating UAB 30-7 at home last weekend to improve to 4-5 on the season overall. The Volunteers scored 23 unanswered points in the first half and never looked back, giving up just a single touchdown all game en route to a double-digit victory. QB Jarrett Guarantano went 13/21 for 147 passing yards and a touchdown but also got picked off once. RB Ty Chandler led the way on the ground, rushing for 85 yards and a score on a team-high 16 carries. Eric Gray was on the receiving end of the only passing touchdown of the game for the offense, hitting pay dirt on a 13-yard strike from Guarantano. As a whole, the offense gained over 300 total yards and scored three touchdowns in the win.

The Volunteers had a solid outing on the other side of the ball against UAB, holding the Blazers to just over 200 total yards of offense and one touchdown. Tennessee was especially strong defending against the run, surrendering only 64 net rushing yards.

Kentucky got back to .500 on the season overall their last time out, beating Missouri 29-7 at home to improve to 4-4. The Wildcats exploded for 22 unanswered points in the second quarter to break a scoreless tie against a Tigers squad that only managed to score a single touchdown the rest of the way. QB Lynn Bowden didn’t do much through the air, going 3/7 for 54 passing yards. However, Bowden had a monster showing on the ground, rushing for 204 yards and two touchdowns on a team-high 21 carries. RB Asim Rose also found the end zone on one of his 15 carries for 51 yards while Bryce Oliver led the way for the receiving corps with a single 44-yard catch. Overall, Kentucky generated over 350 total yards of offense and scored four touchdowns.

The Wildcats were very solid defensively against Missouri, allowing only a single touchdown despite giving up almost 300 total yards of offense. Kentucky did a good job shutting down the Tigers on the ground, as their top rusher averaged only 3.9 yards per carry.

NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Tennessee +1

I’m leaning slightly towards taking the single point and rolling with the Vols on the road here in Week 11, as I think that they could easily win this game outright. Tennessee has really been playing well on both sides of the ball as of late, losing only to #6 overall Georgia and #2 overall Alabama since October 1st. While Kentucky has also had some solid results over their past couple of outings, the Wildcats are only averaging 15.0 points per game since September 28. They have also really struggled against the spread in this particular matchup in recent years, failing to cover the number in two out of their last three meetings with the Volunteers.

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Tennessee is a rock-solid 4-1 against the spread over their last five games. They are also a very impressive 6-1 against the spread over their last seven games against Kentucky overall, giving up well under 20.0 points per game while average well over 32 points on offense during that stretch. On the other side, the Wildcats are a brutal 2-18 straight up in their last 20 battles with the Volunteers. This SEC East clash should come right down to the wire, especially with how well both defenses have been playing since early October. I’ll take a shot with the slight road underdog and roll with Tennessee against the spread – give me the Volunteers to cover and win outright!