This Saturday the No. 13 ranked Kentucky Wildcats (5-0) will look to remain unbeaten when they travel to College Station to take on the Texas A&M Aggies(3-2). Kickoff is set for 7:00 EST at Kyle Field and will be televised on ESPN.
Oddsmakers opened this thing up with Texas A&M as a 6.5-point home favorite, but that number has went down a bit with the Aggies either a 5 or 5.5-point favorite depending on where you shop. The total for this matchup is currently sitting at 49.5 points. Click here for a full Week 6 betting schedule and for more links to our game previews.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Kentucky vs Texas A&M
The Wildcats continued their improbable start to the 2018 season with 24-10 win and cover at home against South Carolina. Kentucky is not only 5-0 overall to start the season, but they improved to a perfect 3-0 in SEC play.
Texas A&M enters this one off a 24-17 win over Arkansas on a neutral field, but failed to cover as a 19-point favorite. While the final score makes it look like the Aggies won in a dog fight, they actually led 17-0 early and never trailed in the game. It was also the first time this season that Texas A&M failed to cover the spread, as they had started out 4-0.
While this is the Aggies 7th season as a member of the SEC, this will mark the first ever meeting between the two schools as conference opponents. The only other previous meetings came way back in the early 1950’s.
Free NCAA Football Pick & Betting Predictions: Texas A&M -5
I would have to lean towards laying the points with the Aggies as a mere 5-point home favorite against the Wildcats. It doesn’t happen often, but whenever you have a team ranked in the Top 25 getting points against an unranked opponent, it’s usually a pretty good sign to fade the team that’s ranked. I couldn’t agree more, as I not only think Texas A&M wins this matchup, but I think they do so in blowout fashion.
Click on the link for more free college football picks from our top rated handicappers on staff.
The thing you have to keep in mind with the rankings this early in the season, is the overall record is really what the voters dial in on. So while I think it’s pretty clear that Texas A&M is one of best 25 teams in the country, their 3-2 record has them on the outside looking in for the time being.
The Aggies only two losses this season have come against arguably two of the top programs in the country in Clemson and Alabama. While they lost both of those contests, they were there with Clemson in a 28-26 defeat at home and while they lost by 18-points to Alabama, that’s the best any team has looked to this point against the Crimson Tide, who are the overwhelming favorites to win it all.
I’m also not the least bit concerned about their lackluster showing last week in a 7-point win over a bad Arkansas team as a 19-point favorite. That was a brutal spot for Texas A&M off that emotional loss to Alabama.
I expect a much more dialed in and focused Aggies squad, who are going to want to make a statement and get that first win over a Top 25 opponent under new head coach Jimbo Fisher. You also have to factor in just how difficult a place Kyle Field is to get a win, especially in a prime time night game.
No disrespect to Kentucky, who no one envisioned being 5-0 to start the season, but I just think the Wildcats are a bit overvalued right now. They have certainly benefited from playing 4 of their first 5 games at home and while the road win over Florida was impressive, I think it will be tough for them to keep this one close.
That’s because this is a really tough matchup for the Wildcats. Kentucky’s offense is built around star running back Benny Snell, as they come in ranked a mere 118th in the country in passing at just 153 ypg. As good as Snell is, and he’s really good, Texas A&M has the defense to contain him.
The Aggies rank 3rd in the country against the run, giving up just 80.6 ypg. Keep in mind they held Clemson to just 115 yard rushing and only gave up 109 rushing yards on the road to Alabama, who currently has the 29th ranked rushing attack in the nation at 217.4 ypg. Texas A&M also has one of the best defensive coordinators in the game today in Mike Elko and you can bet his entire gameplan will be to not let Snell beat them.
I just don’t think Kentucky can keep this within a touchdown without Snell being a major factor and this Wildcats offense is certainly not one that is built to play from behind. Starting quarterback Terry Wilson hasn’t thrown for more than 165 yards in a single game this season and has just two touchdown passes to five interceptions. Give me the Aggies -5