In the first of three games scheduled for Thanksgiving Day we have the Detroit Lions hosting the Chicago Bears. Kickoff for this NFC North matchup is set for 12:30 EST at Ford Field and will be televised nationally on FOX.
Oddsmakers opened up this game at a Pick’em, but early money has the Bears currently listed as a 3-point road favorite. The total opened at 41 and is down to 38.5 at most books.
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Lions vs Bears Vegas Odds & Game Preview
Detroit Lions (3-7-1 SU, 4-7 ATS)
When the Lions pulled off a 27-24 upset win at Philadelphia in Week 3 to improve to 2-0-1 there were some thinking that this team could push for a playoff spot. That optimism is long gone, as Detroit has gone just 1-7 since with their only win coming at home against the Giants.
The Lions suffered their fourth straight loss this past Sunday in 19-16 loss at Washington as a 4-point favorite. While it was Detroit’s 6th loss by 8 or fewer points, there’s no excuse for them losing to an awful Redskins team with Dwayne Haskins at quarterback.
The Lions have now failed to cover the spread in six straight games.
Chicago Bears (3-5 SU, 2-6 ATS)
The Bears come in off a 19-14 win over the Giants at home, but once again failed to cover as a 6-point favorite. Chicago is just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. While it’s not a big surprise to see the Lions stumble after their fast start, the Bears are easily one of the most disappointing teams of 2019. Many felt that Chicago was a team that had a legit shot to win the NFC and make the Super Bowl.
It’s hard to put blame on just one guy, but the poor play of quarterback Mitchell Trubisky is without a doubt the overwhelming reason for this team not living up to expectations. While Trubisky had one of his better games this past Sunday against New York, more was expected against that awful Giants defense. Chicago has now gone 5 straight games scoring 20 or fewer points.
This will be the second meeting between these two teams, as they met in Chicago in Week 10. The Bears won and covered in a 20-13 win as a 6.5-point favorite, but totaled just 226 yards in the process. It also marked the first game for the Lions without starting quarterback Matthew Stafford. It was Chicago’s third straight win and cover in the series.
Free NFL Betting Prediction: Detroit +3
My early lean here would be take the points with the Lions at home. With that said, this is the definition of a degenerate play, as there’s just no way you can confident back either of these teams. For me I agree with the original line here as a pick’em, so if I play this one I got to take the points.
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For me the most obvious reason to lean Detroit is the last time these two teams played. I know Chicago won the game, but they didn’t really feel like the better team. While they put up 20 points, the offense did next to nothing for the majority of the game. They scored a TD in the final seconds before half and then scored two more TD’s in the first 6 minutes of the 3rd quarter. They only had 226 total yards for the game and 156 of those came on two drives.
Driskel and the Lions offense put up 357 yards in the loss. They just couldn’t finish off drives early and had a big turnover that led to a quick score for Chicago. I’m not expecting a lot out of Detroit’s offense in this one, but I think they can definitely do enough on their home turf to win this game.
The other thing to keep in mind with the Lions loss to the Redskins is the defense did their part. Detroit only gave up 230 yards and Washington’s only TD for the game came on a 91-yard kickoff return for a score.
Lastly, as bad as it’s been for the Lions we can bank on them giving max effort in this one, as there’s a lot of pride within that organization when it comes to playing on Thanksgiving Day. Give me Detroit +3!