This Sunday the Detroit Lions will play host to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST at Ford Field and will be televised locally on FOX.
Oddsmakers opened up this line at Tampa Bay -4, but early money has this line down to the Bucs -3.5 at most places. The total opened at 47.5 and that’s where it sits today.
Click here for a full look at the Week 15 NFL odds and for more links to our game previews.
Lions vs Bucs Game Betting Preview & Vegas Odds
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-7 SU, 4-8-1 ATS)
The Buccaneers extended their winning streak to 3 games with an impressive come from behind win at home against the Colts. Trailing 21-35 in the 2nd half, Tampa Bay scored the games final 17 points to knock off Indianapolis 38-35.
Jamies Winston was the driving force to the Bucs victory. However, he was also the main culprit to them nearly losing. Winston went 33 of 45 for 456 yards and 4 scores, but 3 of his 12 incompletions resulted in interceptions, including one that was returned 80-yards for a score. In total the Bucs turned it over 4 times to the Colts 1, which marks one of the rare times you will ever see a team win a game with a -3 turnover differential.
Detroit Lions (3-9-1 SU, 6-7 ATS)
The Lions enter off one of their worst showing of the season, as Detroit fell 20-7 on the road to division rival Minnesota. Detroit did manage to push as a 13-point dog, but were held scoreless until a late TD drive in the final minutes of regulation.
That game marked the first time all season that the Lions didn’t have a lead at any point in the game. Detroit has now lost 5 straight and are just 1-8 over their last 9 games and they only win during this stretch is against a Giants team that sits at 2-11.
It will be interesting to see just how much pride this Detroit team has in these final three games and whether or not there’s anything head coach Matt Patricia can do to save his job.
These two last met in December of 2017 in Tampa Bay. The Lions won that contest 24-21 in a game that went off as a pick’em. Detroit has won 4 of the last 5 overall with the Bucs only win coming on the road back in 2013.
Free NFL Pick Against the Spread: OVER 47.5
I just don’t love the idea of laying more than field goal on the road with Jameis Winston and the Bucs and also want nothing to do with the Lions right now. The good news is I do think there’s some value here with the OVER at 47.5.
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There’s really not a ton to think about here. The OVER has consistently hit in Tampa Bay games this year, going 10-3 with a strong 6-2 mark in their 8 games away from home.
A big reason for that is the Bucs high-powered passing attack, which comes in ranked 2nd in the at 298.2 ypg. One that should be on full display this Sunday even with star wide out Mike Evans not expected to play. That’s because Winston will be up against a Lions secondary that ranks 30th in the league against the pass, giving up 276.5 ypg.
Not to mention the ideal playing conditions in the dome. Note that Tampa has played two games in a dome this season. Both went over the total and the average combined score was 56 points.
One reason this total isn’t 50+ is because of the Lions offense and how bad it looked last week. Not to mention they are down to 3rd string QB David Blough. However, Blough hasn’t been all that bad given his first two starts have come against two pretty good defenses in the Bears and Vikings. He had 280 yards and 2 TD’s at home against Chicago and the Bucs come into this one ranked 31st against the pass, giving up 278.8 ypg.
I could see this one being something very similar to Tampa Bay’s last game with the Colts that ended up 38-35 with both teams eclipsing the 30-point mark. Either way I think they find a way to get to at least 48. Give me the OVER 48.5.!