The Dallas Cowboys (5-4) travel to Michigan this weekend for an all-NFC matchup with the Detroit Lions (3-5-1). Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on November 17th at Ford Field and the game will be broadcast on FOX.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Cowboys listed as 4-point road favorites. The spread has increased by three full points after Matthew Stafford was ruled out, as Dallas is currently available at -7. The total for this matchup is 47 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 11 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Lions vs Cowboys Game Odds & Betting Preview
The Cowboys couldn’t find a way to get past Minnesota at home last weekend, falling 28-24 on Sunday Night Football to drop to 5-4 on the season overall. Dallas gave up 14 unanswered points in the first quarter and couldn’t find a way to pull off a comeback despite outscoring the Vikings 24-14 over the final 45 minutes of the game. QB Dak Prescott went 28/46 for 397 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air but also threw a costly interception as well. RB Ezekiel Elliott never really got anything going on the ground against a tough run defense, rushing for only 47 yards on 20 carries. Amari Cooper and Randall Cobb torched the Minnesota secondary, combining for 253 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 17 catches. As a whole, the Cowboys generated 447 total yards of offense and found the end zone three times despite coming up just short on the scoreboard.
Dallas wasn’t that great defensively against the Vikings, giving up over 350 total yards of offense and three touchdowns. The Cowboys really struggled trying to contain RB Dalvin Cook, as he racked up 183 all-purpose yards and scored a touchdown as well.
The Lions couldn’t find a way to pull off a victory in their first outing without Matthew Stafford at quarterback in several years, losing 20-13 on the road in an AFC North battle with Chicago. Detroit gave up 13 unanswered points in the third quarter and never recovered, coming up a touchdown short despite scoring seven points or the final 15 minutes of the game. Backup QB Jeff Driskel showed a lot of heart getting thrust into action against a solid Bears defense, going 27/46 for 269 passing yards and a touchdown. He also led the way on the ground, rushing for 37 yards on five carries. Kenny Golladay was on the receiving end of the only passing touchdown of the afternoon for the offense, finding the end zone on one of his three catches for 57 yards. Overall, the Lions gained just over 350 total yards of offense in the loss.
Detroit had a decent outing on the other side of the ball in Week 10, holding the Bears to just over 250 total yards of offense and three touchdowns. The Lions were especially solid against the run, allowing only 81 net rushing yards all game.
Free NFL Betting Predictions and Pick: Cowboys -7
While I also don’t mind taking the UNDER on 47 total points scored, I think the best value in this NFC clash is probably Dallas against the spread. The Lions offense really struggled to find any consistency on offense last week, especially with an almost non-existent running game. Things won’t get any easier for Detroit here in Week 11, as the Cowboys have been pretty solid on defense for the most part. They certainly have an appealing matchup against Jeff Driskel, as he is nothing more than a game manager at this point in his career. Ezekiel Elliott should also rebound on Sunday afternoon after struggling against Minnesota, as the Lions have already been exposed on the ground several times this year.
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Detroit has also really struggled against the spread as of late, going just 1-4 ATS over their last five games overall. Playing at Ford Field doesn’t really appear to be much of an advantage either, as the Lions have only covered the number in two out of their last seven outings at home. On the other side, Dallas is a very solid 8-3 outright over their last 11 meetings with Detroit. While there is no doubt that the Cowboys 0-5 record against the spread when facing NFC North opponents is at least somewhat concerning, the absence of Matthew Stafford should pave the way for Dallas to grind out a cover on the road in this matchup. I’ll lay the touchdown and roll with the road favorite – give me the Cowboys!