The Detroit Lions will take on the Green Bay Packers in a Monday Night Football showdown to cap off Week 9 of the NFL season. Game time is 8:30 PM EST on Monday, November 6 at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin. The game will be televised on ESPN.
Oddsmakers currently have Detroit as 2.5-point road favorites. That line has shifted slightly, as the game originally opened as a Pick’em. The over/under for the game is 43.5 points. Click here for a full list of the Week 9 betting odds and links to more game previews.
Lions vs Packers Vegas Preview & Game Predictions
Detroit is in desperate need of a win on Monday night after dropping three consecutive games to fall to 3-4 on the season. The Lions lost a close game against the visiting Pittsburgh Steelers their last time out after failing to find the end zone the entire game. QB Matthew Stafford passed for over 400 yards but still couldn’t figure out a way to convert in the red zone. Matt Prater kicked five field goals but it still wasn’t enough to overcome some second half heroics by Steelers WR JuJu Smith-Schuster. Stafford has led the Lions to a somewhat respectable average of 324.3 total yards per game. However, Detroit has been extremely underwhelming on the ground, averaging just 82.1 rushing yards per game. Defensively, the Lions are giving up an average of 24.1 points on 346.1 total yards per game.
The Packers have now lost back to back games and are still in search of their first win of the season without Aaron Rodgers starting at quarterback. Brett Hundley was terrible in his first start last weekend against New Orleans, throwing for just 87 yards and no touchdowns. He did manage to find the end zone on the ground with a 14 yard scramble in the 2nd quarter, but was overwhelmingly ineffective the rest of the way. RB Aaron Jones continued his stellar play with a very impressive 131 rushing yards on 17 carries. Jones also found the end zone to keep the Packers in the game early. On the other side of the ball, Green Bay is allowing an average of 23 points and 348.9 total yards per game.
Free Pro Football Pick Against The Spread : Detroit -2.5
This is a semi-tough game to handicap simply because of the lack of meaningful sample size from Brett Hundley. If he plays like he did against the Saints last weekend, I really think Detroit offers a ton of value. They found a way to frequently move the ball against a tough Steelers team despite not ever finding a way to get into the end zone. Green Bay is certainly worse defensively than Pittsburgh, so Stafford and Co. should theoretically cure their red zone woes on Monday night.
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Digging a bit deeper into Hundley’s recent statistics, it is extremely obvious that he still struggles with turnovers. He has thrown four interceptions in his last 58 pass attempts, which roughly translates into a 6.9% chance of him throwing a pick every time he passes the ball. I know that the Packers are coming off a bye and will have had plenty of time to come up with a relatively safe game plan that will likely limit his exposure to mistake-prone situations. However, Green Bay will still need to find a way to move the ball against a tough Lions rush defense. Aaron Jones was basically the only Packer who found any real success against a porous New Orleans defensive line. Detroit will certainly be a much tougher test, as they are giving up around 30 less yards on the ground per game.
The Lions are just 1-5 ATS in their last six trips to Lambeau. Of course, those were all games in which Aaron Rodgers was starting at quarterback. With Hundley under center again this week, I’m choosing to throw all the previous recent history between these two teams out the window. I think Detroit finds a way to win this game on the road to get back to .500 on the season.
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