The Detroit Lions are set to host the Green Bay Packers on Sunday Night Football. Kick if set for 8:30 EST at Ford Field and will be televised on NBC. Oddsmakers have Green Bay listed as a 3-point favorite with the total at 49.5 points. Click here for more Week 17 game previews and betting odds.
Packers vs Lions Vegas Spread Preview
Green Bay (9-6) comes in off a 38-25 home win over the Vikings. It was a lot more lopsided than the final score would indicate. The Packers led 38-13 with less than 5 minutes to play. That’s now 5 straight wins for Green Bay since their ugly 4-6 start to the season.
Detroit (9-6) enters off a 21-42 loss at Dallas on Monday Night Football. Most expected a better effort out of the Lions. The Cowboys had already clinched the No. 1 seed in the NFC. Detroit could have clinched a playoff spot with a win. That’s now two straight losses for the Lions after their impressive 8-1 stretch.
These two teams played at Green Bay way back in Week 3. The Packers won that contest 34-27. Detroit made a furious comeback in that one, as Green Bay led 31-3 at one point. This time the stakes couldn’t be much higher. The winner of this game wins the NFC North and clinches a playoff spot. If the Redskins beat the Giants at home, the loser will be eliminated.
Free Pick & Odds Predictions: Packers -3
My early lean here is on the Packers laying just a field goal on the road against the Lions. I know it’s a division road game, but I actually think there’s some decent value here with Green Bay at this price. The Packers are playing their best football of the season right now. They have been in the playoffs each of the last 7 years and that experience will pay off here.
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The Lions were a great story this year, as no one was giving them a chance to even be in this spot. The thing is, Detroit has been about as lucky as you can get in 2016. The Lions have 8 wins by a touchdown or less. Several of which came with them trailing in the 4th quarter. Detroit could just as easily be sitting here with 4 or 5 wins.
The Packers are a team that greatly underachieved early in the year. The offense couldn’t find a rhythm and the defense was decimated with injuries. That’s no longer the case, as Aaron Rodgers has the offense clicking and the defense is getting stops. Rodgers is in one of those zones right now, where it takes a near perfect game to beat him.
I just don’t think the Lions are capable of being that team to take the Packers down. Green Bay had little trouble moving the ball against Detroit back in Week 3. They scored 4 touchdowns and a field goal on their first 5 possessions.
Another big key here is I don’t think Stafford is 100% right now. I know he’s played decent with the glove to protect his injured finger, but it’s just not the same. Without him at his best, I just don’t see Detroit being able to keep pace with the Packers.
There’s a great system in play backing Green Bay. Road teams who have covered the spread in 3 of their last 4 are 23-5 (82%) against the spread in the final two weeks of the season over the last 5 years.
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