This Sunday the Detroit Lions (1-3) will host the Green Bay Packers (2-1-1). Kickoff for this NFC North matchup is set for 1:00 EST at Ford Field and will be televised locally on FOX.
Taking a look at the Week 5 NFL odds, the books opened this game with the Packers as a slim 1-point favorite and that’s where the line still sits today. The total for this contest is currently set at 51 points.
Vegas Betting Odds & Game Preview: Packers vs Lions
Green Bay comes into this one off a 22-0 win and cover at home over the Bills as a 8.5-point favorite. It was the Packers first win since that epic 24-23 come-from-behind win over the Bears in Week 1. It was a dominating performance against a Buffalo team that just upset the Vikings the week prior, as Green Bay posted an impressive 423 to 145 edge in total yards.
Detroit’s attempt to build off that dominating win at home over the Patriots on Sunday Night Football in Week 3, ended in a heartbreaking 24-26 loss at Dallas. After putting together a 6-play 75-yard TD drive to take a 24-23 lead, the defense allowed the Cowboys to move down the field and kick the game-winning field goal as time expired. On the bright side, the Lions have now covered 3 straight since that ugly loss as a favorite to the Jets in Week 1.
Last year the Lions swept the season series against the Packers, winning 30-17 at Green Bay in Week 9 and 35-11 at home in Week 17. However, it’s hard to put a lot into those two wins, as the Packers played both games without All-Pro quarterback Aaron Rodgers.
Free NFL Betting Pick & Predictions: Packers -1
I would have to lean towards backing the Packers at basically a pick’em in this one. It’s not been an ideal start to the season for Green Bay, but they are coming off their best showing of the season in their win over Buffalo at home last week. Even though the public is going to be all over the Packers, I just get the feeling this team is a bit undervalued right now.
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The biggest thing that people will focus on that like Detroit in this spot, is the fact that the Packers lost 31-17 in their only road game of the season at Washington and last time we saw the Lions play at home they laid it on Brady and the Patriots.
The one thing you have to keep in mind with Green Bay’s poor showing against the Redskins, is they were coming off that crazy tie against the Vikings at home, where they felt cheated after an interception that would have sealed the win was negated because of a questionable roughing the passer penalty. I feel they simply came out flat against Washington and let’s not forget that tie had a similar effect on the Vikings, who got routed at home by the Bills in their next game.
As for the Lions win over New England. That was an ideal situation for Detroit to pull off the upset. The players played their hearts out for their new head coach against his former team and the home crowd was electric with the game being played on Sunday Night Football. Matt Patricia, who spent all those years going up against Brady and that New England offense put together a masterful gameplan in that win.
That’s their only win on the season. While they lost by just 3-points at San Francisco, they trailed by 17 in the 4th quarter. Sure they could have won at Dallas, but there’s nothing to be excited about playing the Cowboys tough with how they have looked early. Plus, they gave up 414 yards to a Cowboys team that hadn’t gained more than 303 yards in any of their first 3 games. Not to mention that loss to the Jets gets uglier with each passing week, as New York is now 1-3 and have scored 41 points in their 3 losses and had 48 against the Lions.
I just don’t think the Detroit defense is going to be able to do enough here to stop Rodgers and that Packers offense. The Lions are giving up almost a touchdown more to their opponent than what they average and are allowing a staggering 6 yards/play.
It’s also worth noting that Detroit is just 5-10 SU against the Packers with Matthew Stafford at quarterback and two of those were last year without Rodgers playing on the other side. Green Bay on the other hand has won 13 of 16 meetings with Detroit with Rodgers under center. Give me the Packers -1.