The Texas State Bobcats (2-5) travel to Lafayette this weekend for a Sun Belt Conference clash with the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (5-2). Kickoff is set for 5:00 PM EST on November 2nd at Cajun Field and the game will be televised on ESPN+.
Taking a look at the Week 10 college football odds, Louisiana opened as a 22.5-point home favorite earlier this week. The spread hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as the Ragin’ Cajuns are currently available at -22.5. The total for the game is sitting at 56 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Louisiana vs Texas State
Texas State lost their second consecutive game last weekend, falling 38-14 on the road against Arkansas State to drop to 2-5 on the season overall. The Bobcats trailed by just a field goal at the half but completely fell apart in the third quarter, giving up 14 unanswered points en route to a double-digit defeat. QB Tyler Vitt wasn’t at his best, going 15/27 for 146 passing yards and a touchdown but also getting picked off twice. RB Caleb Twyford led the way on the ground, rushing for 76 yards and a touchdown on a team-high 16 carries. Hutch White was on the receiving end of the only passing touchdown of the game for the offense, as he found the end zone on one of his two catches for just 12 yards. As a whole, Texas State generated just over 200 yards of total offense and scored two touchdowns.
The Bobcats had a rough outing on the other side of the ball against Arkansas State, surrendering almost 400 total yards of offense and five touchdowns. Texas State had no answer for the Red Wolves running back duo of Marcel Murray and Jamal Jones, as the pair combined for 177 yards and three touchdowns.
Louisiana has now won five out of their last six games overall after beating Arkansas State 37-20 their last time out to improve to 5-2 on the season. The Ragin’ Cajuns put up 17 points in the second quarter and never looked back, cruising to victory after adding two more touchdowns in the fourth quarter. QB Levi Lewis didn’t do much through the air, going 17/24 for 181 passing yards and no touchdowns while also recording an interception. Raymond Calais and Elijah Mitchell were dominant on the ground, combining for 253 rushing yards and four touchdowns on 31 carries. Ja’Marcus Bradley led the way for the receiving corps, making six catches for 72 yards. Overall, Louisiana gained close to 500 total yards of offense and scored five touchdowns against a shell-shocked Red Wolves defense.
The Ragin’ Cajuns were somewhat average defensively against Arkansas State, giving up almost 500 total yards of offense but only allowing two touchdowns. Louisiana did have a tough time trying to contain Red Wolves WR Omar Bayless, as he torched the secondary for 150 receiving yards on nine catches.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Louisiana -22.5
I think that the Ragin’ Cajuns offer fairly decent value in this particular spot, especially since they are playing at home here in Week 10 where they are a rock-solid 6-1 straight up over their last seven games. While Texas State has certainly battled hard this year, they don’t appear to have the depth on defense to slow down a red hot Louisiana offense on Saturday evening. The Bobcats have now given up at least 34 points in four games this year already, while LA Lafayette has scored 35+ points in five out of their last six outings overall. Both teams are also coming off battles with Arkansas State, as Louisiana triumphed by over two touchdowns while Texas State couldn’t even stay within three touchdowns of the Red Wolves in a blowout loss.
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The Ragin’ Cajuns have really been performing well against the spread lately, covering the number in six out of their last seven outings overall. Louisiana has also absolutely dominated the Bobcats against the spread in recent history as well, going a perfect 6-0 ATS over their last six meetings. On the other side, Texas State is a brutal 1-6-1 against the spread over their last eight games and are also just 1-10 outright in their last 11 road games. I’m going to eat the chalk and roll with the 22.5 point home favorite in this Sun Belt Conference battle – give me the Ragin’ Cajuns to cover!