The Louisville Cardinals (2-3) host the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (2-3) on Friday night in a battle between two teams trying to get back to .500 on the season. Kickoff is set for 7:00 PM EST at Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium and the game will be available on ESPN.
Taking a look at the Week 6 college football odds, Georgia Tech opened as a 4-point road favorite earlier this week. That line has changed slightly after early betting, as the Yellow Jackets are currently listed at -3.5. The total for the game is sitting at 57 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Louisville vs Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech avoided losing their fourth consecutive game last weekend, beating Bowling Green 63-17 in Week 5 to improve to 2-3 on the season. QB TaQuon Marshall passed for 160 yards while also adding 42 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. Marshall already has 9 touchdowns for the Yellow Jackets so far this season – 7 rushing and 2 through the air. He has scored at least one rushing touchdown in every game this year while leading the way for Georgia Tech’s triple-option offense. As a whole, Georgia Tech is currently averaging 36.4 points per game (36th overall) on 453.2 total yards per game (41st).
The Yellow Jackets have been slightly below average on defense, allowing opponents to score an average of 27.8 points per game (83rd) on 356.0 total yards (50th). They are currently giving up an average of 150.0 yards per game on the ground (56th) and 206.0 yards per game through the air (50th).
Louisville lost their second consecutive game last weekend, falling 28-24 to the Florida State Seminoles. Jawon Pass and Malik Cunningham have been swapping turns as the starting quarterback for the Cardinals as neither player has really excelled to start the year. It was Pass who got the call against Florida State, completing just over 50% of his throws for 306 yards and two touchdowns. He did have a ton of troubles holding on to the football, however, as the sophomore fumbled the ball three times while also throwing two interceptions. The loss was especially tough for Louisville, as they had held a commanding 21-7 leading heading into the start of the 3rd quarter. As a whole, the Cardinals are averaging just 18.4 points per game (121st) on 311.6 total yards (120th).
The Cardinals have looked mediocre at best defensively, giving up an average of 26.0 points per game (71st) on 385.8 total yards per game (75th). They currently have the 60th best passing offense in the FBS, allowing 217.0 yards per game through the air. Their rushing defense will be heavily tested by Georgia Tech on Friday night, as they are currently giving up 168.8 yards per game on the ground (83rd).
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Georgia Tech -3.5
This should be an entertaining game between two teams that are desperate for a victory. I think it should stay close for four quarters before one team manages to pull away late. I think it’s at least semi-likely that this is a touchdown or less game – Louisville should get a boost from playing at home. While Georgia Tech should have a lot of momentum after such a lopsided victory last weekend, they had still lost three in a row previously to that and may come back to earth a bit against a capable opponent. Both defenses haven’t been that good, giving up almost the exact same numbers of points per game. The Yellow Jackets do have the definite edge offensively, as the Cardinals have been playing a guessing game at starting quarterback all year long.
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Louisville is just 2-5 ATS over their past seven Friday games and 2-5-1 ATS over their past eight games following an ATS win. More importantly, the Cardinals are just 3-9 ATS in their last twelve home games and 3-12 ATS over their last 15 games on turf. Georgia Tech is 4-1 ATS over their past five games against teams with a losing record and 4-1-1 ATS over their past six games in October. However, they are just 0-4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
I think what stands out for me in this particular spot is just how one-dimensional Georgia Tech is on offense. It is clear that they are a run-first team, which does sound like a negative aspect. However, I’m not so sure that it is in this case, as Louisville has been brutal against the run and will likely continue to struggle again this week. It is also obvious that the Cardinals have big problems offensively, as they are averaging less than 20 points per game – alsmot have of what Georgia Tech is averaging. All in all, this spread is still small enough that I think the Yellow Jackets offer good value. I’ll lay the points and roll with the road favorite.