The no. 24 LSU Tigers hope to retain possession of the Golden Boot when they host the Arkansas Razorbacks. Kickoff is set for noon EST on Saturday, November 11 at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Fans can watch the Game on ESPN.
LSU enters this rivalry game as 17.5-point favorites. The over/under for the game is set at 58 points. Click here to check out a full list of Week 11 betting odds and links to game previews.
LSU vs Arkansas Vegas Odds Preview
The Tigers saw their three-game winning streak come to an end at the hands of Alabama last week. The loss knocked LSU out of contention in the SEC West. Nevertheless, the Bayou Bengals have come a long way since their loss to Troy earlier this year. If they can win out and win their bowl game, the Tigers have a chance to win 10 games this year, which would be a great accomplishment.
Arkansas, on the other hand, is just hoping to get to a bowl game. Two straight wins have brought the Razorbacks to 4-5 on the season, giving them a chance at a bowl game if they can win two or their final three games.
However, the Hogs have not been impressive in these last two wins. They needed a last-second field goal to beat Ole Miss by a point a couple weeks ago and then a late touchdown to squeak past Coastal Carolina by a point. A couple close calls against bad teams doesn’t inspire a lot of confidence as the Razorbacks head to Death Valley.
Free Pick & Betting Predictions: LSU -17.5
I hate swallowing this many points for an LSU team that looks average at best offensively most weeks. But even in their wins, Arkansas has played so poorly this year. I saw see the Razorbacks getting steamrolled, as LSU wins going away, covering 17.5 points.
The common theme for Arkansas the past two weeks has been coming from behind. Against Ole Miss, they once trailed 31-7 before starting their comeback. Against Coastal Carolina, they trailed by 13 points early in the 4th quarter before scoring two late touchdowns to win by a point. For those of you who don’t know, this is Coastal Carolina’s first season as an FBS team. They are 1-8 and 0-5 in the Sun Belt. Keep that in perspective when thinking about Arkansas’ recent play.
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The point here is that there’s no way the Razorbacks can come back against LSU if they find themselves in a big hole. Ole Miss and Coastal Carolina are both terrible defensive teams, which made a comeback possible. But the Tigers are allowing just 20 points per game this season and have looked strong on that side of the ball since the loss to Troy.
Arkansas is yet to announce whether starting quarterback Austin Allen is ready to return from a shoulder injury or if freshman Cole Kelley will get the start against LSU. Of course, neither has had much success this season against quality defenses. The Tigers definitely have a quality defense, and if they can slow down the Arkansas rushing attack, it may not matter what quarterback gets the start.
Of course, to cover a 17.5-point spread, the Tigers will have to score some points. Fortunately, Arkansas may have the worst defense in the SEC. They’ve given up at least 37 points in each of their last five games. LSU managed 40 points and nearly 600 yards of offense against a porous Ole Miss defense, and they should be capable of similar feats against Arkansas.
A month ago, there’s no way I’d trust LSU to cover a spread this big. But they’ve come a long way since then. Also, Arkansas has proven themselves to be truly dreadful, even when they win. I trust that’ll be enough for LSU to win comfortably and cover the spread.