The SMU Mustangs (5-5) host the Memphis Tigers (6-4) on Friday in AAC action. Kickoff is set for 9:00 PM EST at Gerald J. Ford Stadium and the game will be broadcast on ESPN2.
Taking a look at the Week 12 college football odds, Memphis opened as a 8.5-point road favorite earlier this week. That line has shifted by half a point after early betting, as the Tigers are currently listed at -8. The total for the game is sitting at 75 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: SMU vs Memphis
Memphis improved to 6-4 on the season last weekend after an impressive 47-21 victory over Tulsa. The Tigers were dominant on both sides of the ball, racking up 499 yards of total offense while limiting the Golden Hurricane to just 252. QB Brady White played well, passing for 184 yards and two touchdowns. White has now thrown for 2,512 yards and 22 touchdowns in just ten games. RB Corey Taylor II leads the way on the ground, rushing for 748 yards and seven touchdowns so far this year. He was fantastic against Tulsa in Week 11, rushing for 117 yards and two touchdowns. As a whole, Memphis is currently averaging a healthy 44.6 points per game (6th overall) on 531.9 total yards. They have been exceptional at moving the ball on the ground, averaging 270.2 rushing yards per game (5th overall).
The Tigers have not played well on the other side of the ball, allowing opponents to score an average of 30.5 points per game (86th overall). They have really been exposed defensively through the air, as they are currently giving up an average of 231.6 passing yards per game (68th overall).
SMU won their second consecutive game last weekend to get back to .500 on the season and move within one win of bowl eligibility. The Mustangs were firing on all cylinders offensively, racking up a ridiculous 62 points in a 62-50 triumph over Connecticut. However, their poor play on defense allowed the Huskies to rush for 365 yards and almost come all the way back from a 21-point 4th quarter deficit. QB Ben Hicks leads the way for SMU on offense, passing for 1,919 yards and 16 touchdowns in ten games. His favorite target is clearly WR James Proche, who has 882 receiving yards and nine touchdowns so far this season. RB Braeden West has also had a good year, rushing for 536 yards on the ground while also racking up 29 catches for 277 yards and seven total touchdowns. Overall, the offense is currently averaging 32.3 points per game (40th overall).
On the other side of the ball, the Mustangs are currently giving up a troublesome average of 36.8 points per game (115th overall). They have struggled a lot against the run through their first ten games, as opponents are currently averaging 201.7 yards per game on the ground (99th overall).
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: SMU +8
This game should be a ton of fun to watch, as it currently has one of the highest totals on the board here in Week 12. Neither of these teams have looked good on the defensive side of the ball, as both are giving up over 30 points per game to opponents. While I do think that Memphis is the better team overall, the Mustangs still need one more win to clinch a spot in a bowl game. They are also playing at home in a matchup that will likely go back and forth for four quarters due to two lackluster defenses. The biggest thing that stands out for me in this particular spot is how well SMU matches up against a poor Memphis secondary, as the Mustangs 40th overall passing offense should have no trouble moving the ball downfield.
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The Tigers are just 1-4 ATS over their last five road games. They have done well against the Mustangs as of late though, going 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings. SMU is a very solid 5-1 ATS over their last six games on turf. They are also 9-4 overall in their last 13 home games.
SMU knows they have just two more opportunities to win that elusive sixth game of the year. They have been really playing well as of late, winning two consecutive games to get back to .500 overall and give themselves a real shot at bowl eligibility. Memphis clinched their spot last weekend and may have a bit of a hangover in this one. However, there is certainly no doubt that they are the better team on both sides of the ball, as the Tigers are scoring eight more points per game on offense while allowing six less points per game on defense. Nonetheless, Southern Methodist took Cincinnati to overtime at the end of October, and the Bearcats are one of the top teams in the entire conference. Ultimately, I like SMU to stay within a touchdown on Friday night, so I’m rolling with the Mustangs to cover at home.