This Friday the No. 24 ranked Memphis Tigers (6-1, 3-1 AAC) will host the Tulane Green Wave (3-4, 1-2 AAC). Kickoff is set for 8:00 EST at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium and will be televised on the CBS Sports Network.
Oddsmakers currently have the Tigers listed as a 10.5-point home favorite with the total set at 66 points. Click here for a full look at our Week 9 college football betting schedule with more links to our game previews.
Tulane vs Memphis Vegas Game Odds & Betting Preview
The Green Wave come in off a 28-34 loss at USF as a 10-point dog. It was one of the more fortunate covers of Week 8. Tulane was down 34-7 midway thru the 3rd quarter and managed to go on a 21-0 run to end the game. USF ran it right down the throat of the Green Wave defense, totaling 378 yards on 52 attempts. Tulane improved to 5-2 ATS on the season.
The Tigers are coming off a fortunate cover as well. Memphis trailed Houston 31-14 with less than 1 minute to play in the 3rd quarter, but finally got the offense going and pulled out a 42-38 victory as a slim 1-point dog. It was just the second cover in the last 5 games for Memphis, who is just 3-4 ATS on the year.
Tigers continued their dominance in the series with a 24-14 win at Tulane a year ago, but the Green Wave did cover that contest as a 12-point dog. Memphis is 15-3 SU and 13-4-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free ATS Pick: Tulane +10.5
I would ride the hot hand and back the Green Wave getting 10.5-points against the Tigers. Tulane didn’t look great early last week at home against USF, but you have to love how this team continued to fight. They turned a 27-point deficit into a 1-score game in the final minutes of the 4th quarter. I think they bring that same fight here against a ranked Memphis team.
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With a 6-1 record and win over UCLA, I understand why the Tigers are ranked in the Top 25, but I don’t think this team is one of the 25 best in the country. In fact, Memphis is a few bad breaks away from potentially having a losing record. They got 3 wins by 6-points or less and another by just 8 at home against ULM. The best team they have faced is UCF and they lost by 27 on the road.
I not only think Tulane can keep it close, but an outright win isn’t out of the question. Tulane’s defense didn’t look good against USF, but a lot of that had to do with the play of star quarterback Quinton Flowers and his ability to turn a broken play into a big gain. While Memphis has a quality QB in Riley Ferguson, he doesn’t provide that same threat on the ground.
Ferguson and the Tigers come in with the 10th ranked passing attack at 333.4 ypg, but will face a talented Tulane secondary that ranks 29th against the pass, giving up 190.6 ypg. Keep in mind they are allowing less than 200 yards with giving up 434 yards through the air in one game against Oklahoma.
On the other side of the ball, there’s reason to believe the Green Wave can have success. Tulane has the 12th ranked rushing offense at 266.0 ypg and will be up against a Memphis defense that ranks 109th against the run, allowing 212.7 ypg. Look for the Green Wave to play keep away from the Tigers offense by grinding out long possessions. That should allow them to keep this came close and it makes those 10-points that much more valuable.
Memphis is just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 off a win, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 at home and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 at home after playing in a game where 70+ combined points were scored.