The #16 ranked Miami Hurricanes (5-1) travel to Charlottesville this weekend to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (3-2) in ACC action. Kickoff is set for 7:00 PM EST at Scott Stadium and the game will be available on ESPN2.
Taking a look at the Week 7 college football odds, Miami opened as a 6-point road favorite earlier this week. That line has remained unchanged after early betting, as the Hurricanes are currently listed at -6. The total for the game is sitting at 49 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Virginia vs Miami
Miami won their fifth consecutive game after a Week 1 loss to LSU last weekend, sneaking by Florida State by a single point to improve to 5-1. The Hurricanes trailed by six points heading into the 4th quarter but found a way to keep the Seminoles off the scoreboard while also scoring a touchdown of their own to win 28-27. QB N’Kosi Perry had a big game through the air, finding the end zone four times while also passing for 204 yards. It was a bittersweet victory for Miami as WR Ahmmon Richards officially announced he was retiring from football after a serious neck injury. Richards was highly regarded as one of the best receiving prospects heading into this years NFL draft by several scouts.
On the other side of the ball, the Hurricanes have looked fantastic through six weeks. Miami is currently giving up an average of just 18.5 points per game (23rd) on 237.3 total yards (2nd). They have been fantastic against the rush, limiting opponents to only 100.0 yards per game on the ground (7th overall). Opponents haven’t had an easy time moving the ball against the ‘Canes through the air either, as they are giving up just 137.3 passing yards per game (3rd).
Virginia dropped to 3-2 overall on the season their last time out after a tough 35-21 loss to NC State. QB Bryce Perkins looked fairly mediocre against the Wolfpack, passing for 258 yards and two touchdowns while also throwing two interceptions. WR Olamide Zaccheaus had a massive game for the Cavaliers, racking up nine receptions for 109 yards and two touchdowns. RB Jordan Ellis has struggled mightily as of late, rushing for less than 70 yards in both of his last two outings. As a whole, Virginia is averaging 30.2 points per game (63rd) on 418.0 total yards per game (57th).
The Cavaliers have played fairly well on the other side of the ball, as opponents are averaging just 20.4 points per game (32nd). In terms of total defense, Virginia has looked quite strong against both the run and the pass – they are currently ranked inside of the Top 40 teams overall in both categories.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Miami -6
This certainly isn’t shaping up to be the most entertaining game in terms of offensive output, as both teams have struggled a bit to move the ball down the field when playing against Top 50 ranked teams so far this season. However, both teams have looked quite strong defensively, especially Miami. The Hurricanes are holding opponents to under 250 yards of total offense per game, which is quite impressive. I have a hard time seeing how Virginia is going to find the end zone at home on Saturday night, as their running game has really been letting them down lately. Miami has shown that they are capable of posting some big numbers on the scoreboard, as they scored 47 points against UNC and 49 points against Toledo. While the Cavaliers defense will certainly be much more of a test, the Hurricanes still should be able to have enough success offensively to win by at least a touchdown.
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Miami is a very solid 5-2 ATS over their last seven road games against opponents with a winning record. The home team is also just 1-6 ATS over the last seven meetings between these two teams.
Virginia has also had a tough time protecting Bryce Perkins, as NC State racked up four sacks in their victory over the Cavaliers. Miami is a terrifying defense to face, as they are ranked inside of the Top 10 in pretty much every major defensive category. I just feel as if the Hurricanes are clearly the superior team on both sides of the ball – the spread currently isn’t big enough to scare me away from laying the points on the road. While I might have a different opinion if it was a touchdown or more, I don’t think Virginia can stay within 6.5 points in this particular spot. I’ll take the road favorite.