The Virginia Tech Hokies (4-5) host the Miami Hurricanes (5-5) this Saturday in ACC action. Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM EST at Lane Stadium and the game will be broadcast on ESPN.
Taking a look at the Week 12 college football odds, Miami opened as a 3.5-point road favorite earlier this week. That line has yet to move after early betting, as the Hurricanes are currently listed at -3.5. The total for the game is sitting at 50 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Virginia Tech vs Miami
Miami lost their fourth consecutive game last weekend, falling 27-21 against Georgia Tech to drop back to .500 on the season. The Hurricanes still need to win just one more game this to book their fifth straight ticket to a bowl game. QB N’Kosi Perry has really struggled as of late, failing to throw a touchdown in each of his last three starts. While he still has eleven touchdowns on the season, Perry’s inability to find the end zone has been a big factor in the recent downswing by the offense. RB Travis Homer also had a tough game against the Yellow Jackets in Week 11, as he was held to a season-low 30 yards. Homer currently has over 700 yards on the ground in his last ten games combined. As a whole, Miami is currently averaging 30.9 points per game (53rd overall).
The Hurricanes have really taken a step backwards on the other side of the ball this year, as opponents are currently averaging 20.1 points per game (20th overall). Despite boasting a plus-13 turnover margin last year when they were showcasing the “Turnover Chain” multiple times per game, Miami currently only has a plus-1 turnover margin through 10 games.
Virginia Tech got destroyed 52-22 by Pitt last weekend to drop back below .500 on the season. The Hokies have pretty much self-destructed on defense over the last several weeks, giving up 1,176 yards and 16 rushing touchdowns over their last three games combined. Things have certainly been a little bit better on offense, as QB Ryan Willis has thrown for 1,770 yards and 16 touchdowns in ten games. Willis has now passed for at least two touchdowns in each of his last six games. He certainly has explosive chemistry with WR Damon Hazleton, as the pair has combined for 687 yards and eight touchdowns this season. Eric Kumah has done his part as well, racking up 437 yards and five touchdowns on just 34 receptions. Overall, Virginia Tech is currently averaging 29.8 points per game (62nd overall).
On the other side of the ball, the Hokies are currently giving up an average of 31.0 points per game (87th overall). As mentioned previously, they have been absolutely dreadful against the run this year, as opponents are currently averaging 212.7 yards per game on the ground (108th).
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Miami -3.5
Both of these teams have been terrible as of late, as they have gone a combined 1-9 over their last ten games. Miami hasn’t been able to replicate the same success on defense they had last year, while Virginia Tech is getting absolutely run over on the ground. However, I still think the U offers some decent value in this spot, mostly due to the strong play of DeeJay Dallas and Travis Homer out of the backfield. While the Hurricanes have been in the midst of this brutal four game losing streak, they have still been able to run the ball, averaging 184.5 yards per game on the ground over their past four games.
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The Hokies are just 1-6 ATS over their past seven games following a straight up loss. They are also a brutal 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall and 0-4 ATS over their last five conference games. Miami is a respectable 5-2 ATS over their last seven games against teams with a losing record.
Another important trend that is worth noting in this particular spot has been the strong performance by the Hurricanes in this matchup. Miami is a rock solid 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings with Virginia Tech. This spread is still close enough that I think laying the points is a relatively easy decision. I’ll take the road favorite to cover the spread en route to clinching a spot in a fifth consecutive bowl game – give me the U.