Big Ten action in Week 5 has the Indiana Hoosiers hosting the No. 17 ranked Michigan State Spartans. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 EST at Memorial Stadium in Bloomington. The game will be televised on the Big Ten Network. Michigan State is currently a 7-point favorite with the total set at 53.5 points. Click here for more week 5 betting odds.

Michigan State vs Indiana Vegas Betting Preview

The Spartans come into this contest off a shocking 6-30 loss at home to Wisconsin. It wasn’t a huge surprise that the Badgers won, but more of how they dominated Michigan State on the road. The loss dropped the Spartans to 2-1 overall and 0-1 inside the Big Ten.

Indiana also comes into this contest off a surprising home loss. The Hoosiers fell 28-33 to Wake Forest as a 7-point favorite. Indiana put up 611 total yards of offense, but were done in by 5 turnovers. The defeat dropped Indiana to 2-1 overall. This will be their first conference game of 2016.

Michigan State has dominated the series of late. The Spartans won 52-26 at home last year as a 14.5-point favorite. The previous year they won 56-17 as a 16-point road favorite at Indiana.

Free Pick & Point Spread Predictions: Michigan State -7

I’ll be the first to say that this line seems too good to be true. Typically when something looks obvious, it’s time to load up on the other side. However, I don’t think that’s the case here. In fact, this reminds me a lot of the line we saw last week with Florida State only laying 5 at USF.

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Like the Spartans, the Seminoles were coming off an embarrassing loss to Louisville. Florida State went on to win comfortably 55-35. It’s one thing to lose a game against a quality opponent. It’s another to get embarrassed. I don’t see Michigan State hanging their heads after the loss to Wisconsin. Instead, I look for them to come out with a chip on their shoulder.

The big edge for Indiana is that they are playing at home in a night game. Yes, the crowd will be electric to start, but I don’t trust this team to keep this close. I’ve not been impressed with what I have seen so far from the Hoosiers.

They won their opener 34-13 over a horrible FIU team. The 21-point win looks great on paper, but it was much closer than the final score indicates. Indiana actually trailed 12-13 going into the 4th quarter. Had it not been for two interceptions returned for a touchdown, they may have lost that game.

The icing on the cake for me was last week’s loss to Wake Forest. I know the offense put up all kinds of yards, but that’s not a game a good team loses. Wake Forest is improved, but far from a quality team. Not to mention they were minus their best quarterback and running back for that contest. Even minus those two, Indiana couldn’t get a stop when it needed to.

I just don’t see them being able to keep Michigan State from doing whatever they want offensively. After facing one of the best defenses in the country in Wisconsin, it’s going to feel like playing the practice squad when they take on Indiana.

Let’s also not forget this isn’t the first year Indiana has had a strong offense. Michigan State’s defense wasn’t the problem against the Badgers. They kept them in check and played really well against an elite Notre Dame offense the week before.

You also have to factor in the poor decision making of Indiana quarterback Richard Lagow. Chances are he’ll throw at least a couple picks here and that should be enough for the Spartans to secure a cover.