The #13 overall Florida Gators (6-2) host the Missouri Tigers (4-4) on Saturday afternoon in an SEC showdown. Kickoff is set for 4:00 PM EST at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium and the game will be broadcast on the SEC Network.
Taking a look at the Week 10 college football odds, Florida opened as a 6-point home favorite earlier this week. That line has moved by only half a point after early betting, as the Gators are currently listed at -5.5. The total for the game is sitting at 58 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Florida vs Missouri
Missouri dropped back to .500 on the season last weekend after a heartbreaking 15-14 loss against Kentucky. The Tigers couldn’t find a way to hold on to a 14-3 lead with under six minutes left in the 4th quarter, allowing the Wildcats to score a winning touchdown as time expired. Kentucky dominated Missouri on both sides of the ball, outgaining them by a 385-249 yard margin. QB Drew Lock has looked pretty good for the most part in eight starts so far this season, throwing for 2,144 yards and 16 touchdowns. He has received a ton of help from the talented RB duo of Larry Rountree III and Damarea Crockett, who have chipped in for 1,057 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns in eight games. As a whole, Missouri is currently scoring an average of 35.5 points per game on 469.6 yards of total offense.
Things haven’t looked quite as solid on the other side of the ball for Mizzou, as they are currently allowing opponents to score an average of just 28.9 points per game (80th overall). They have really had a tough time defending against the pass, giving up an average of 288.3 yards per game through the air (124th overall).
Florida got crushed by #7 Georgia last weekend, falling 36-17 to drop back to 6-2 on the season. The Gators were badly outplayed on both sides of the ball, getting out gained 479-275 by the Bulldogs. They also couldn’t find a way to get a takeover on defense while turning the ball over three times due to some sloppy offensive mistakes. QB Feleipe Franks has thrown for 1,511 yards and 16 touchdowns so far this year to lead the way for Florida on offense. The tandem of Lamical Perine and Jordan Scarlett have combined for almost 900 yards rushing and 6 touchdowns on the ground. Overall, the Gators are currently averaging 32.2 points per game on 391.4 yards of total offense.
The Florida defense has been quite impressive for the most part through their first eight games, as they are currently allowing just 19.0 points per game (20th overall). While things were a bit of a struggle last weekend against a high-flying Georgia offense, the Gators have still given up an average of just 170.1 yards per game through the air (11th overall).
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Florida -5.5
I honestly expected this spread to be a little bit higher, as Mizzou hasn’t played all that well on the road as of late. It will also be very interesting to see how they rebound after such a tough loss against the Wildcats last weekend. Florida really will be motivated to bring their A-game, especially considering how badly they got embarrassed by Georgia in Week 9. I don’t think the Tigers are a strong enough team defensively to hang with a Gators team that is well-above average on both sides of the ball.
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Florida is a very impressive 4-1 ATS over their past five conference games. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall and 4-1 ATS over their last five games on grass. The Tigers are a brutal 0-4 ATS over their last four road games. They are also just 1-4 ATS in their last five conference games.
Mizzou has now dropped four out of their last five games while the Gators are a very solid 4-2 against SEC opponents so far this season. Kentucky totally shut down the Tigers on defense, and there definitely seems to be a trend of quality performances against weaker opponents while getting shut down by strong opposition. The Florida defense will be fired up and ready to go after allowing the Bulldogs to put up 35+ points in Week 9. I think there is a ton of value on the Gators side in this particular spot, as I expect them to put on a show at home on Saturday afternoon and win by at least a touchdown – give me Florida.