The East Carolina Pirates (3-8) travel to Raleigh this weekend to battle the NC State Wolfpack (8-3). Kickoff is set for 12:00 PM EST on December 1st at Carter-Finley Stadium and the game will be broadcast on the ACC Network.
Taking a look at the Week 14 college football odds, NC State opened as a 24-point home favorite earlier this week. That line hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as the Wolfpack are currently listed at -24. The total for the game is sitting at 60.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: NC State vs East Carolina
East Carolina has now lost four out of their last five games after a lopsided 56-6 loss to Cincinnati in Week 13. Nothing really went well for the Pirates on either side of the ball, as they allowed the Bearcats to rack up over 600 yards of total offense while only managing to accumulate 303 total yards of their own. QB Holton Ahlters certainly didn’t have his best game, throwing for 184 yards and a touchdown while also getting picked off once. The ground game was an absolute disaster, as RB Trace Christian was ECU’s leading rushing with just 25 yards on six carries. The lone bright spot offensively was WR Mydreon Vines, who scored a beautiful 71-yard touchdown on his only reception of the game. As a whole, East Carolina is currently averaging just 24.5 points per game (98th overall).
The Pirates have not played very well on the defensive side of the ball, allowing opponents to average 35.5 points per game (112th overall). They have really struggled against the pass through their first eleven games, giving up 256.4 yards per game through the air (107th overall).
NC State has slowed down a little bit after a scoring-hot 5-0 start to the season, losing three out of their past four games to drop to 8-3 overall. However, they did manage to beat state-rival UNC last weekend, scoring the only six points in overtime en route to a thrilling 34-28 victory. QB Ryan Finley had a rough game, failing to find the end zone and throwing for just 200 yards and getting picked off once. The offensive star of the game was clearly RB Reggie Gallaspy II, who rushed for 129 yards and an incredible five touchdowns. WR Jakobi Meyers managed to crack the 100-yard barrier as well, making seven receptions for 111 yards. Overall, NC State is currently averaging a solid 33.5 points per game (35th overall).
On the other side of the ball, the Wolfpack are currently giving up 24.5 points per game (45th overall). They have looked especially strong against the run this season, giving up just 116.2 yards per game on the ground (16th overall).
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: NC State -26
The Wolfpack have now won back to back games after hitting a bit of a rough patch in late October/early November. While they have struggled a bit on offense against quality defensive teams, they certainly have had no problem with teams ranked outside of the top 80 schools nationwide in terms of scoring defense. They managed to score 52 points against Louisville in Week 12 and 47 against Florida State in Week 10. ECU is easily as bad, if not worse, than both of those defenses. The Pirates also may have some difficulty scoring more than 20-24 points themselves in this matchup, as the Wolfpack have certainly been well above average against both the run and the pass this year.
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East Carolina is just 7-19 ATS over their last 26 games on the road. They are also a brutal 14-40 ATS in their last 54 games against opponents with a winning record. NC State is a solid 7-2-1 ATS in their last ten games in the month of December. They are also 7-3 ATS over their last ten games following an against the spread loss.
I’m not even sure the Pirates will be able to hang around for a couple of quarters in this one, as NC State has dominated teams with a losing record on both sides of the ball all season long. The Wolfpack should jump out to an early lead and have an easy time creating separation from an offense that is currently averaging less than 25 points per game. I’m laying the points in this particular spot, as I think the home team should be able to cover the spread on Saturday.