The New Mexico Lobos (2-6) head to Reno this weekend for a Mountain West Conference clash against the Nevada Wolf Pack (4-4). Kickoff is set for 10:30 PM EST on November 2nd at Mackay Stadium and the game will be televised on ESPNU.
Taking a look at the Week 10 college football odds, Nevada opened as a 4-point home favorite earlier this week. The spread has come down by half a point after early betting, as the Wolf Pack are currently available at -3.5. The total for the game is sitting at 58.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Nevada vs New Mexico
New Mexico lost their fifth game in a row last weekend, falling 45-31 at home against Hawaii to drop to 2-6 on the season overall. The Lobos trailed 35-3 at the half and couldn’t find a way to get back into the game despite outscoring the Rainbow Warriors 28-10 over the final two quarters. QB Tevaka Tuioti struggled with his accuracy, going 23/40 for 293 yards and two touchdowns but also getting picked off twice. RB Ahmari Davis had a monster game on the ground, racking up 200 yards and two touchdowns on a team-high 16 carries. Jordan Kress also chipped in offensively, making four catches for 100 yards and a touchdown. Overall, New Mexico generated over 500 total yards of offense and scored four touchdowns despite coming up well short on the scoreboard.
The Lobos had a brutal outing on the other side of the ball against Hawaii, getting torched for almost 600 total yards and five offensive touchdowns. New Mexico really struggled to control Rainbow Warriors QB Cole McDonald on the ground, as he rushed for 140 yards and found the end zone twice on just nine carries.
Nevada lost their second consecutive game last weekend, getting crushed 31-3 on the road against Wyoming to drop back to .500 on the season overall. The Wolf Pack got outscored 24-3 in the first half and never recovered, failing to score even a single point over the final two quarters of the game. QB Carson Strong wasn’t at his best, going just 26/40 for 247 yards while also recording an interception as well. Devonte Lee led the way on the ground, rushing for 38 yards on just three carries. Romeo Doubs had a decent amount of success through the air, hauling in five catches for 98 yards. As a whole, Nevada gained just over 300 total yards of offense and only managed to score one field goal all game against a tough Cowboys defense.
The Wolf Pack struggled defensively against Wyoming, giving up over 450 total yards of offense and four touchdowns. Nevada had no answer for Cowboys RB Xazavian Valladay on the ground, as he rumbled for 206 rushing yards on a team-high 20 carries.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: UNDER 58.5
I’m really not seeing all that much value on either side against the spread in this Mountain West battle here in Week 10, as both of these teams appear to be evenly matched with Nevada probably deserving to be a slight favorite – especially at home. Both teams have certainly had their share of obstacles to overcome this season, especially offensively. New Mexico has scored 21 points or less five times this year already, while the Wolf Pack offense has been held to ten or fewer points in three out of their last four games overall. With the spread looking pretty bang on overall, I think my favorite play in this matchup is probably the UNDER on 58.5 total points in what should turn out to be a decently low scoring game.
Click on the link for more free college football picks from our experts on staff.
It is also very important to note that the total has gone UNDER in four out of the last five meetings between Nevada and New Mexico. The UNDER has also come through in four out of New Mexico’s last five games overall and in three out of their last four road games as well. I’m going to avoid both teams against the spread on Saturday evening, as I really don’t have a strong lean either way. Instead, I’ll take my chances with the UNDER on 58.5 total points.