The Boise State Broncos (8-2) travel to Albuquerque this Friday for a meeting with the New Mexico Lobos(3-7). Kickoff is set for 9:00 PM EST at Dreamstyle Stadium and the game will be broadcast on the CBS Sports Network.
Taking a look at the Week 12 college football odds, Boise State opened as a 20-point road favorite earlier this week. That line has remained unchanged after early betting, as the Broncos are currently listed at -20. The total for the game is sitting at 62 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: New Mexico vs Boise State
Boise State moved to 8-2 on the season last week after an impressive 24-17 win over the #23 Fresno State Bulldogs. The Broncos really came on strong in the second half, as they trailed 17-3 early in the 3rd quarter. QB Brett Rypien played pretty well, passing for 269 yards and avoiding any turnovers. He has been very solid through ten games, passing for an average of 304.8 yards per game and racking up 25 touchdowns. RB Alexander Mattison was outstanding on the ground in Week 11, rushing for 144 yards and two touchdowns. Overall, Boise State is currently averaging 36.6 points per game on 466.6 total yards of offense. They have really looked strong through the air, averaging 313.9 passing yards per game (13th).
The Broncos have also played fairly well on the other side of the ball, allowing opponents to score an average of 23.0 points per game on 365.2 total yards of offense. They have really been especially solid against the run, giving up only 125.9 rushing yards per game (27th overall).
New Mexico lost their fifth consecutive game last weekend to drop to 3-7 on the year. The Lobos really struggled on defense against Air Force, giving up 30+ points for the fourth consecutive game en route to a 42-24 loss. QB Sheriron Jones has really struggled so far this season, completing just 54.4% of his passes and throwing for an average of only 146.2 yards per game. On the ground, the trio of Tyrone Owens, Zahneer Shuler, and Ahmari Davis have combined for 13 touchdowns. They have really played well so far this season, as New Mexico is currently averaging a respectable 163.0 rushing yards per game. As a whole, the offense is currently averaging 30.2 points per game on 362.0 total yards.
On the other side of the ball, the Lobos are currently giving up an alarming 35.8 points per game (110th overall). They have struggled a lot against the run through their first ten games, as opponents are currently averaging 201.1 yards per game on the ground (98th overall).
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Boise State -20
New Mexico has really been on a slide as of late, as they haven’t won a game since the first week of October. I certainly don’t like their chances of turning things around here in Week 12, as the Broncos offense has really been firing on all cylinders. While some might point to a potential let-down spot after an emotional win over Fresno State in Week 11, Boise State has shown that they can cover large spreads when heavy favorites this season. They beat Colorado State by 28 points in mid-October and Wyoming, Troy, and Connecticut by 20+ as well. I’m fully expecting that trend to continue this weekend against a bad Lobos team.
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Boise State is a very solid 8-3-1 ATS over their last 12 road games. They are also 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a losing record and 4-0 ATS over their last four road games against teams with losing home records. New Mexico is just 1-5 ATS over their last six home games. They are also only 2-8 ATS in their last ten conference games and 1-4 ATS over their last five games overall.
The Bronocs should have an extremely easy time on offense in this particular spot, especially on the ground where New Mexico is giving up over 200 rushing yards per game. Alexander Mattison was electric against a decent Fresno State Bulldogs defense in Week 11, so the sky is the limit for him against the Lobos. While it might seem a bit scary to lay this many points, Boise State has proved all year long that they are the real deal. I’m taking the road favorite in this spot, as I think the Broncos will win by at least three touchdowns and improve to 9-2 overall.