The #9 overall Notre Dame Fighting Irish (3-1) host the Bowling Green Falcons (1-3) this weekend in Indiana. Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, October 5th at Notre Dame Stadium and the game will be televised nationally on NBC.
Taking a look at the Week 6 college football odds, Notre Dame opened as a massive 45-point home favorite earlier this week. That spread hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as the Fighting Irish are currently listed at -45. The total for the game is sitting at 61 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Notre Dame vs Bowling Green
Bowling Green dropped their third consecutive game their last time out after getting crushed 62-20 on the road against Kent State. The Falcons got outscored 21-7 in the first quarter and never recovered, giving up 41 points the rest of the way in a blowout loss. QB Darius Wade was 18/25 for 161 passing yards and also threw two costly interceptions. Grant Loy had the only touchdown through the air for Bowling Green, hooking up with Bryson Denley on a three yard strike. RB Andrew Clair led the way on the ground, rushing for 61 yards and a touchdown on a team-high 14 carries. As a whole, the offense generated well under 350 total yards and scored three touchdowns in the defeat.
The Falcons defense obviously had a rough outing against Kent State, getting torched for over 700 total yards of offense and eight touchdowns. Bowling Green was just dreadful against the run, as the Golden Flashes racked up almost 400 yards on the ground alone.
Notre Dame moved to 3-1 on the season last weekend, beating #23 overall Virginia 35-20 at home to rebound nicely following a disappointing six-point loss to Georgia back in Week 4. The Fighting Irish actually trailed 17-14 at the half before really turning it on over the final 30 minutes, scoring 14 unanswered points in the third quarter en route to a double-digit victory. QB Ian Book was 17/25 for 165 yards through the air while also RB Tony Jones Jr. exploded for 131 yards and three touchdowns on 18 carries. Cole Kmet led the way for the receiving corps but really couldn’t get all that much going against a tough Cavaliers secondary, making just four catches for 65 yards. Overall, Notre Dame gained over 300 yards of total offense and scored four touchdowns in the win.
The Fighting Irish were pretty solid defensively in Week 5, holding Virginia to under 350 yards of total offense and just two touchdowns. Notre Dame was ridiculously impressive against the run, as they only gave up four net rushing yards to the Cavaliers all game long.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Notre Dame -45
I’m always extremely wary of laying so many points in these particular spots, as so many things can go wrong during garbage time and there often isn’t really a ton of value. However, I just don’t think I can get behind Bowling Green in this matchup, especially considering they lost by 40+ points to Kent State in their last game back in Week 4. They also lost 52-0 to Kansas State in Week 2, so there certainly appears to be enough background evidence to comfortably take the Fighting Irish against the spread on Saturday afternoon – especially since they are playing at home this weekend.
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The Falcons have just been dreadful on both sides of the ball over the past several weeks, getting outscored 149-27 in their last three games. I really don’t see how that trend doesn’t continue here in Week 6, as Notre Dame is currently the #9 overall team in the entire country and has scored at least 35 points in three out of four games played since the start of the year. Bowling Green is just 1-4 against the spread over their last five games and 0-2 ATS over their last two outings on the road. On the other side, the Fighting Irish are a very impressive 3-1 against the spread so far this season. While I’ll likely stay away entirely if this spread balloons any higher, I think Notre Dame should put up enough points to cover the number against a sub-par Falcons squad. Give me the Fighting Irish!