The #6 overall Oklahoma Sooners (8-1) host the Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-4) on Saturday afternoon in the latest installment of the Bedlam Series. Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM EST at Oklahoma Memorial Stadium and the game will be broadcast on ABC.
Taking a look at the Week 11 college football odds, Oklahoma opened as a 17.5-point home favorite earlier this week. That line has remained unchanged after early betting, as the Sooners are currently listed at -17.5. The total for the game is sitting at 80 points. (Friday update – Oklahoma State is listed at +21).
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Oklahoma vs Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is still one win away from bowl eligibility after losing 35-31 on the road to Baylor last weekend. The Cowboys managed to outgain the Bears by a 513-402 margin but still couldn’t find a way to avoid dropping to 5-4 on the season. QB Taylor Cornelius played fairly well, throwing for 289 yards and a touchdown while also for rushing for 19 yards and a score. Cornelius has now thrown for 2,617 yards and 20 touchdowns in nine games. He had a ton of help from WR Tylan Wallace, who had eight receptions for 122 yards and a touchdown. RB Justice Hill also looked very solid game against Baylor, turning 18 carries into 119 yards and a touchdown. As a whole, OSU is currently averaging a very impressive 38.3 points per game (17th overall) on 497.3 yards of total offense (10th overall). They have really done a great job moving the ball through the air, averaging 297.2 passing yards per game (18th overall).
The Cowboys have been below average defensively so far this season, as opponents have scored 29.9 points per game (83rd overall). OSU has really struggled to shut down the pass, giving up an average of 245.1 yards per game through the air (86th overall).
Oklahoma improved to 8-1 overall last weekend after sneaking by Texas Tech 51-46 on the road. Things were a bit too close for comfort for the Sooners at several points in the game, as they trailed the Red Raiders 31-28 at halftime before outscoring them 23-15 in the second half. QB Kyler Murray was outstanding in the passing game, thowing for 363 yards and three touchdowns in the win. Murry has now racked up 2,689 yards and 31 touchdowns in just nine games so far this season. He has also chipped in with 574 rushing yards and seven touchdowns on the ground. RB Trey Sermon leads the way on the ground with 722 rushing yards and eight touchdowns. He also had a huge game in Week 10, rushing for 206 yards and three touchdowns. Overall, Oklahoma is currently averaging a whopping 49.1 points per game (3rd overall) on 563.2 yards of total offense (2nd overall).
On the other side of the ball, the Sooners are currently giving up an average of 27.9 points per game (74th overall) 391.1 yards of total offense (60th overall). They have really struggled against the pass so far this season, allowing opponents to gain an average of 247.0 yards per game through the air (89th overall).
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Oklahoma State +17.5
This game should be a ton of fun to watch, as it features the highest total of any Week 11 matchup – by a wide margin. In fact, the current total of 80 is at least 12 points higher than any other game on the schedule. Both of these high-powered offenses can put points on the board in a hurry, as both sides have now scored 40+ points in at least four games this season. Oklahoma has really been on a roll as of late, scoring 50+ in three straight games. However, their defensive play leaves much to be desired – Texas Tech really exposed them through the air last weekend and managed to stay within a touchdown all game long. While I don’t think OSU can quite match that fantastic performance by the Red Raiders, I still like them to stay within two touchdowns of the Sooners in this spot.
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The road team is 5-1 ATS over the last six meetings between these two schools, which clearly bodes well for the Cowboys. While Oklahoma is a very solid 4-1 ATS in their last five games against OSU, they are also just 1-4 ATS over their last five games against opponents with a winning record.
This line has actually moved very significantly since opening at 17.5 earlier this week, as it currently sits at 20+ with just over 24 hours left before kickoff. Still, I do like OSU to make a game out of it on Saturday afternoon. This is obviously a huge rivalry that both teams have had marked on their calendar for months. The Sooners have shown some lapses against inferior opponents so far this season, as they only beat Texas Tech, Iowa State, and Army by ten points or less. They also lost to Texas straight up several weeks ago. In any event, I’m taking the road underdog in this spot – especially since I’m currently getting 20+ free points.