The #15 ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-0) host rival Texas Tech (2-1) on Saturday in a pivotal early season Big 12 showdown. Kickoff is set for 7:00 PM PM EST at Boone Pickens Stadium and the game will be televised on Fox Sports 1.
Taking a look at the Week 4 college football odds, Oklahoma State opened as a 11.5-point home favorite earlier this week. That line has become even more lopsided over the last few days, as the Cowboys are currently listed at -13. The total for the game is sitting at 77 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech
Texas Tech improved to 2-1 on the season last weekend with a thrilling 63-49 home victory over Houston. The Red Raiders are far and away the top scoring team in the country, averaging an astronomical 87.7 points per game over the first three weeks of the season. QB Alan Bowman has looked pretty much flawless to start the year, already throwing for 1160 yards, eight touchdowns, and no interceptions. Many thought Bowman might slow down a bit against a pretty good Houston D, but that was far from the case as he passed for 605 yards and 5 touchdowns. Texas Tech is ranked first overall in total yards per game, as they are currently averaging 621.0 (448.7 passing, 172.3 rushing).
As good as Texas Tech has been on offense, they have been almost equally as bad on the other side of the ball. The Red Raiders are currently ranked 105th overall in terms of total yards allowed to opponents per game (454.3). They are also ranked 112th against the pass (292.7 yards per game) and 78th against the run (161.7 yards per game). Opponents have also been able to put a lot of big numbers on the scoreboard, as Texas Tech is currently allowing an average of 32.0 points against per game (98th).
Oklahoma State is off to an impressive 3-0 start to the season after beating up on Boise State last weekend. The Cowboys scored early and often against the Broncos, winning by a final score of 44-21. QB Taylor Cornelius came through after a sluggish start, throwing for 243 yards and a touchdown. RB Justice Hill was definitely a difference maker on the ground, rushing for 123 yards and a touchdown on 15 carries. Oklahoma State is currently averaging 590.3 total yards per game, good enough for 6th overall nationwide. The Cowboys are also ranked inside of the top 20 in every other major offensive category, as they are averaging 331.7 yards per game passing (13th), 258.7 yards rushing (18th), and 52.3 yards per game total (7th).
OSU has also looked quite solid on defense so far, although they have been prone to struggling a bit when defending against the pass allowing 222.0 yards per game through the air (76th). The Cowboys are top 35 in every other major defensive category, especially against the run where they are allowing an average of just 74.0 yards per game (7th). It will be interesting to see how this defense holds up against the #1 ranked passing offense in the entire country, especially since their secondary has been mediocre at best so far this season.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Texas Tech +13
This matchup between two high-flying offenses should be an absolute blast to watch. I’m not sure how much defense is going to be played in this one, especially on the Texas Tech side. However, I think that the Red Raiders offense should have another extremely productive game, especially considering all the Cowboys struggles against the pass. Houston has an above average defense and they just got absolutely torched by Bowman and Co. last weekend. OSU did make a big statement against Boise State in Week 3, but they also had a special teams touchdown and two blocked punts. That is highly unlikely to occur again this week against a Texas Tech team that seemingly moves the ball up and down the field at will.
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Oklahoma State is just 3-7 ATS over their past ten conference games. They are also just 1-4 ATS in their past five games after allowing 280 more passing yards. On the other hand, Texas Tech is 8-2 ATS after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game and 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games in the month of September. Perhaps most importantly, the road team is 4-1 ATS over the last five meetings between these two Big 12 rivals.
I am definitely a big fan of the over in this particular spot as well. While OSU seems like they have a solid defense, I have no faith in their lackluster secondary against this ridiculous Red Raider passing offense. The Cowboys also can do a lot of damage on offense, especially against a team that is ranked outside of the top 100 in pretty much every defensive category. Ultimately, I think this game stays highly entertaining throughout before Oklahoma State pulls out the victory in the last 5-10 minutes of the game. 13 points seems just a tad bit too high to me though, so I’ll take Texas Tech to cover.